Erzgebirge Aue vs TSV Havelse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse
Result
2:1
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 3
  • Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
125
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
125
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1312
Goalkeeper Saves
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Posselt J. X. , Kolgeci B. (A),
  • 22', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 27', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 29', Boujellab N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Riedel F. 🟨,
  • 63', Seiffert M. , Clausen M. ,
  • 63', Fabisch J. , Simnica L. ,
  • 63', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Schmid M. ,
  • 64', Posselt J. X. , Muller R. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Simnica L. , Fallmann P. (A),
  • 77', Ilic M. , Paldino L. ,
  • 78', Barylla A. , Majetschak E. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Uhlmann E. , Fallmann P. (A),
  • 84', Kolgeci B. , Rexhepi A. ,
  • 86', Malone R. 🟨,
  • 88', Zobel T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ehlers J. , Seidel P. ,
  • 90+3', Oltrogge J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
52.5%
Draw
24.6%
TSV Havelse
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.4% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.3% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.
  • TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TSV Havelse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.61)
    3.92
    (3.98)
    4.25
    (4.98)
    3.6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aue has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Havelse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Aue is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of TSV Havelse
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg440011:4712
    2Hoffenheim II43109:3610
    3Munich 186042207:348
    4Wehen42119:727
    5Saarbrucken42119:727
    6Mannheim42116:427
    7VfL Osnabruck42115:327
    8Viktoria Koln42024:406
    9RW Essen41218:805
    10Stuttgart II41215:505
    11Hansa Rostock41212:205
    12Cottbus41217:8-15
    13Regensburg41124:6-24
    14Alemannia Aachen41125:8-34
    15Aue41123:6-34
    16Verl40317:8-13
    17Ingolstadt40314:5-13
    18Ulm41034:7-33
    19TSV Havelse40222:5-32
    20Schweinfurt40040:8-80

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