Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        24/08/2025 at  10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  3. Liga - Round 3
 
                                                - Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 | 
 Germany | Magenta Sport | 
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 12 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 12 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 14 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 20 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 12 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 10 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 6', 0 - 1, Posselt J. X. ⚽, Kolgeci B. (A), 
 - 22', Fabisch J. 🟨, 
 - 27', Fallmann P. 🟨, 
 - 29', Boujellab N. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 0)
 - 55', Riedel F. 🟨, 
 - 63', Seiffert M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑, 
 - 63', Fabisch J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑, 
 - 63', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑, 
 - 64', Posselt J. X. ↓, Muller R. ↑, 
 - 66', 1 - 1, Simnica L. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A), 
 - 77', Ilic M. ↓, Paldino L. ↑, 
 - 78', Barylla A. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑, 
 - 83', 2 - 1, Uhlmann E. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A), 
 - 84', Kolgeci B. ↓, Rexhepi A. ↑, 
 - 86', Malone R. 🟨, 
 - 88', Zobel T. 🟨, 
 - 90+1', Ehlers J. ↓, Seidel P. ↑, 
 - 90+3', Oltrogge J. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Erzgebirge Aue  52.5% | Draw  24.6% | TSV Havelse  22.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.83 ↑ (1.61) | 
			   3.92 ↓ (3.98) | 
			   4.25 ↓ (4.98) | 
			   3.6% (7.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6% – 90.4%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Aue has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Havelse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  - In this match, Aue is the team to beat.
  - Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
                         
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against TSV Havelse?
                    
                    
                        
                            Erzgebirge Aue has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has TSV Havelse won against Erzgebirge Aue?
                    
                    
                        
                             TSV Havelse has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of TSV Havelse                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Duisburg | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 26 | 
| 2 | Cottbus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 30:21 | 9 | 26 | 
| 3 | Verl | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 30:21 | 9 | 23 | 
| 4 | VfL Osnabruck | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 | 
| 5 | RW Essen | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 25:21 | 4 | 23 | 
| 6 | Hoffenheim II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 21 | 
| 7 | Stuttgart II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 21 | 
| 8 | Viktoria Koln | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 | 
| 9 | Mannheim | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Saarbrucken | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 19 | 
| 11 | Wehen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 | 
| 12 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 | 
| 13 | Munich 1860 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 18 | 
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 17 | 
| 15 | Alemannia Aachen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 | 
| 16 | Aue | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 17 | Regensburg | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 | 
| 18 | Ulm | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:28 | -9 | 13 | 
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 4 | 
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9:34 | -25 | 3 | 
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