Result
3:1
30/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 22
- Referee: Kabalakli C. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Barylla A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Fabisch J. ⚽, Clausen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Clausen M. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 63', Aytun E. ↓, Riedel F. ↑,
- 63', Rexhepi A. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 66', Kolgeci B. 🟨,
- 72', Bar M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Boujellab N. ⚽,
- 79', Stefaniak M. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Paldino L. ⚽, Riedel F. (A),
- 84', Uhlmann E. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
- 86', Duker J. ↓, Oltrogge J. ↑,
- 90', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Paldino L. ↓, Schepp C. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Muller R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
TSV Havelse
33.8% | Draw
26.2% | Erzgebirge Aue
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.9) |
3.55 ↓
(3.68) |
2.31 ↑
(2.17) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Aue (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Aue (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Havelse has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aue has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Havelse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has TSV Havelse won against Erzgebirge Aue?
TSV Havelse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against TSV Havelse?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
24.08.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
TSV Havelse
2:1
Latest results of TSV Havelse
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 65:50 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 61:44 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 55:42 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Verl | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 71:44 | 27 | 54 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 57:52 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Wehen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51:56 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 46:44 | 2 | 44 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 44:48 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 51:44 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 59:58 | 1 | 39 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 37 |
| 17 | Ulm | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 41:63 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | TSV Havelse | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 47:73 | -26 | 26 |
| 19 | Aue | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 32 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 30:76 | -46 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
