Result
2:1
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 3
- Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Posselt J. X. ⚽, Kolgeci B. (A),
- 22', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 27', Fallmann P. 🟨,
- 29', Boujellab N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Riedel F. 🟨,
- 63', Seiffert M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 63', Fabisch J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 63', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 64', Posselt J. X. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Simnica L. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),
- 77', Ilic M. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
- 78', Barylla A. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Uhlmann E. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),
- 84', Kolgeci B. ↓, Rexhepi A. ↑,
- 86', Malone R. 🟨,
- 88', Zobel T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ehlers J. ↓, Seidel P. ↑,
- 90+3', Oltrogge J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
52.5% | Draw
24.6% | TSV Havelse
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TSV Havelse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.61) |
3.92 ↓
(3.98) |
4.25 ↓
(4.98) |
3.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Aue has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Havelse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Aue is the team to beat.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against TSV Havelse?
Erzgebirge Aue has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TSV Havelse won against Erzgebirge Aue?
TSV Havelse has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse were as follows:
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Saarbrucken | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:12 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Viktoria Koln | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Cottbus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Wehen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Munich 1860 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Ulm | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 | Mannheim | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Aue | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
