Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Germany | DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
- 17', Seegert M. 🟨,
- 23', Kolle N. 🟨,
- 37', Brandt M. 🟨,
- 41', Mazagg L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 1, Seegert M. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 2, Pepic M. ⚽,
- 65', Malone R. 🟥,
- 67', Fallmann P. ↓, Barylla A. ↑,
- 67', Ehlers J. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
- 77', Roser L. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
- 77', El-Zein A. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
- 77', Seegert M. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
- 80', Bar M. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
- 80', Tashchy B. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 87', Pepic M. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
- 88', Weinhauer E. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 3, Loder E. ⚽, Chessa D. (A),
- 90+2', Chessa D. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
44% | Draw
26.4% | Ulm 1846
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.16) |
3.53 ↓
(3.57) |
3.16 ↑
(2.99) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Aue (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzgebirge Aue will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aue might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Ulm 1846?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Ulm 1846 has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
09.08.2025
Ulm 1846
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
30.03.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:2
22.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ulm 1846
1:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
