Result
3:1
30/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 22
- Referee: Kabalakli C. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Barylla A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Fabisch J. ⚽, Clausen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Clausen M. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 63', Aytun E. ↓, Riedel F. ↑,
- 63', Rexhepi A. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 66', Kolgeci B. 🟨,
- 72', Bar M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Boujellab N. ⚽,
- 79', Stefaniak M. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Paldino L. ⚽, Riedel F. (A),
- 84', Uhlmann E. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
- 86', Duker J. ↓, Oltrogge J. ↑,
- 90', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Paldino L. ↓, Schepp C. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Muller R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
TSV Havelse
33.8% | Draw
26.2% | Erzgebirge Aue
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.9) |
3.55 ↓
(3.68) |
2.31 ↑
(2.17) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Aue (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Aue (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Havelse has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aue has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Havelse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has TSV Havelse won against Erzgebirge Aue?
TSV Havelse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against TSV Havelse?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
24.08.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
TSV Havelse
2:1
Latest results of TSV Havelse
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 68:48 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 73:58 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63:47 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 64:42 | 22 | 60 |
| 6 | Verl | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 75:47 | 28 | 58 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 66:55 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 52:47 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Wehen | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49:47 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 57:65 | -8 | 49 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 48:49 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:55 | -3 | 46 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 55:49 | 6 | 43 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45:59 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 44:50 | -6 | 41 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 61:65 | -4 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 46:72 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 42:65 | -23 | 27 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 35 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 33:79 | -46 | 20 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
