Result
0:2
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 20
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/367) | 86% (463/538) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/367) | 86% (463/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (91/124) | 76% (76/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Yigiter O. 🟥,
- 41', 0 - 1, Keser B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Boke T. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
- 46', Celik C. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
- 65', Yener H. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 68', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
- 74', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 74', Akgun S. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 80', Charisis C. 🟨,
- 83', Ethemi V. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
- 83', Fidan K. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
- 83', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 84', Keser B. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
- 90+2', Erdogan O. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Crociata G. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
Chances of winning
Sivasspor
35.3% | Draw
30.1% | Erzurumspor
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Sivasspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.91) |
3.01 ↓
(3.04) |
2.66 ↑
(2.36) |
9.3%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Erzurumspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sivasspor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sivasspor will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Erzurumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Vural A.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Sever I.
(Suspended)
Tozlu E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Erzurumspor?
Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sivasspor?
Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
09.08.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Sivasspor
2:0
Latest results of Sivasspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
