Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas).

1. Lig - Round 20
Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.21	0.98
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
1	5
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
4	1
Passes
82% (301/367)	86% (463/538)
Yellow cards
2	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.21	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.02	1.78
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
2	10
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
6	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
7	10
Passes
82% (301/367)	86% (463/538)
Long passes
41% (20/49)	40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
73% (91/124)	76% (76/100)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.36	0.59
Throw ins
22	20
Fouls
10	7
Tackles
73% (8/11)	85% (17/20)
Duels won
36	40
Clearances
15	22
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.78	0.02
Goals prevented
-0.22	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Yigiter O. 🟥,
41', 0 - 1, Keser B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Boke T. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
46', Celik C. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
65', Yener H. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
68', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
74', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
74', Akgun S. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
80', Charisis C. 🟨,
83', Ethemi V. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
83', Fidan K. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
83', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
84', Keser B. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
90+2', Erdogan O. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Crociata G. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sivasspor
35.3%

Draw
30.1%

Erzurumspor
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Sivasspor - Erzurumspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.91)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.66 ↑ (2.36)	9.3% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Erzurumspor?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sivasspor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sivasspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Erzurumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Sivasspor: Vural A. (Suspended)
There will not play in Erzurumspor: Kilinc K. (Inactive) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Tozlu E. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Erzurumspor?

Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sivasspor?

Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:

09.08.2025 Erzurumspor - Sivasspor 2:0

Latest results of Sivasspor

27.12.2025 Sivasspor - Bandırmaspor 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Igdirspor - Sivasspor 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Sivasspor - Çorum 1:1 ✺

07.12.2025 İstanbulspor - Sivasspor 2:1 ✺

03.12.2025 Sivasspor - Aliaga 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Erzurumspor

28.12.2025 Erzurumspor - Çorum 1:0 ✺

23.12.2025 Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor 3:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor 0:2 ✺

14.12.2025 Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor 2:2 ✺

07.12.2025 Boluspor - Erzurumspor 2:0 ✺

Turkish First League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	38	23	12	3	82:27	55	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	39	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	46	74
4	Corum	38	21	8	9	63:39	24	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	32	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	25	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	30	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	13	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	1	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	4	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	2	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	0	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	-2	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	5	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	4	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	-4	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	-31	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	-27	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	-69	14
20	Adana Demirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-147	-54

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation