Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 22
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (455/548) | 79% (258/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (455/548) | 79% (258/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (114/157) | 66% (69/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.67 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Strandby N. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 22', 0 - 1, Kolawole J. ⚽, Bjur P. (A),
- 45+2', Bonde M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Adedeji J. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
- 60', Strand S. 🟨,
- 66', Arnorsson N. 🟨,
- 68', Maden M. ↓, Hvidt B. ↑,
- 76', Arnorsson N. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
- 76', Moller V. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
- 77', Bjur P. ↓, Bennedsgaard J. H. ↑,
- 78', Kolawole J. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 78', Hansen M. ↓, Sonderskov A. ↑,
- 80', Sonderskov A. 🟨,
- 85', John K. ↓, Thomsen W. ↑,
- 85', Hapnes A. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Hansen K. ⚽, Thomsen W. (A),
Chances of winning
Aalborg BK
42.3% | Draw
26.8% | Esbjerg
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Esbjerg aligns with the current prediction.
Aalborg BK - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.16) |
3.46 ↑
(3.44) |
2.93 ↓
(3.05) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aalborg BK - Esbjerg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aalborg BK will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- Esbjerg is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 1.
- Aalborg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Esbjerg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Esbjerg?
Aalborg BK has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Aalborg BK?
Esbjerg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalborg BK - Esbjerg were as follows:
19.08.2025
Esbjerg
-
Aalborg BK
1:0
30.10.2024
Esbjerg
-
Aalborg BK
0:2
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 35:24 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:30 | 4 | 38 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 | Horsens | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Superliga
