Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 6
- Referee: Andersen N. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (284/379) | 85% (433/511) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (284/379) | 85% (433/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/114) | 67% (81/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Borsting F. 🟨,
- 33', Nielsen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lucena J. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,
- 46', Bomholt M. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
- 59', Ankersen J. ↓, Maden M. ↑,
- 59', Buus J. ↓, Tjornelund P. ↑,
- 63', Helenius N. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
- 63', Borsting F. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Maden M. ⚽,
- 77', Bjur P. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 83', Lausen A. ↓, Stagaard T. ↑,
- 85', Nielsen M. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
40.8% | Draw
25.7% | Aalborg BK
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esbjerg's performance.Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esbjerg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Esbjerg - Aalborg BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.65) |
3.62 ↑
(3.45) |
2.76 ↑
(2.44) |
7.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Aalborg BK?
Users Predictions:
Esbjerg will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esbjerg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 1.
- Esbjerg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aalborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Aalborg BK?
Esbjerg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Esbjerg?
Aalborg BK has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Aalborg BK were as follows:
30.10.2024
Esbjerg
-
Aalborg BK
0:2
Latest results of Esbjerg
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Horsens | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | B.93 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Koge | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 11 | Hobro | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
