Esbjerg vs HB Køge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Esbjerg - HB Køge
Result
3:2
01/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 8
  • Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.44
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
83% (436/524)80% (345/432)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.86
Total shots
197
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
5025
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
83% (436/524)80% (345/432)
Long passes
46% (26/57)55% (33/60)
Passes in final third
76% (137/181)61% (67/109)
Crosses
42% (8/19)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.421.43
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1014
Tackles
50% (8/16)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.861.50
Goals prevented
-0.14-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Maden M. , Brajanac M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Lausen A. , Bjur P. (A),
  • 39', Larsen G. , Sorensen V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Jensen Tue C. , Mudi (A),
  • 53', Buus J. 🟨,
  • 61', Troelsen A. 🟨,
  • 64', From L. , Strandby N. ,
  • 64', Maden M. , Ankersen J. ,
  • 69', Buus J. , Tjornelund P. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Ankersen J. , Strand S. (A),
  • 75', Jakobsen N. , Gothler A. ,
  • 75', Jensen Tue C. , Brodersen R. ,
  • 78', Strand S. , Stagaard T. ,
  • 78', Bjur P. , Hansen M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Mudi , Larsen S. (A),
  • 87', Rasmussen M. , Hald S. ,
  • 87', Alkhoudari B. , Dorgu I. ,

Chances of winning


Esbjerg
64.3%
Draw
20%
HB Køge
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 21.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 21.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esbjerg's performance.
  • HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Esbjerg - HB Køge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.59)
    4.76
    (4.29)
    6.19
    (4.82)
    5.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Esbjerg - HB Køge?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 25 - 89.3%). Køge will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Esbjerg: 77.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esbjerg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 2.
    • Recent performances by Esbjerg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Køge is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Esbjerg is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - HB Køge were as follows:
    28.02.2025 HB Køge - Esbjerg 0:2
    24.08.2024 Esbjerg - HB Køge 4:1
    Latest results of Esbjerg
    24.08.2025 Hobro - Esbjerg 2:0
    19.08.2025 Esbjerg - Aalborg BK 1:0
    15.08.2025 B.93 Copenhagen - Esbjerg 1:5
    09.08.2025 Esbjerg - Kolding IF 0:2
    06.08.2025 Marienlyst - Esbjerg 1:2
    Latest results of HB Køge
    23.08.2025 Hillerød - HB Køge 3:1
    19.08.2025 HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen 0:1
    16.08.2025 Middelfart - HB Køge 2:2
    10.08.2025 HB Køge - Aalborg BK 0:2
    01.08.2025 Kolding IF - HB Køge 3:1
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hillerod1272320:16423
    2Lyngby1163222:111121
    3Horsens1254313:9419
    4Hvidovre IF1154215:12319
    5Kolding IF1253416:13318
    6Aalborg1252520:15517
    7B.931252515:19-417
    8Aarhus Fremad1244421:16516
    9Esbjerg1251614:17-316
    10Hobro1225513:21-811
    11Koge1231812:23-1110
    12Middelfart1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )