Result
0:1
06/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 20
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (350/444) | 74% (242/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (350/444) | 74% (242/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (41/90) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (101/145) | 67% (64/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 39% (9/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Strand S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Bjur P. 🟨,
- 63', From L. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 67', Bust L. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 74', Strand S. ↓, Strandby N. ↑,
- 75', Brajanac M. 🟨,
- 76', Larsen G. ↓, Mudi ↑,
- 76', Brodersen R. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 1, Strandby N. ⚽,
- 83', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
- 84', Gothler A. ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
- 85', Tjornelund P. ↓, Sonderskov A. ↑,
- 85', Lausen A. ↓, Hvidt B. ↑,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
29.7% | Draw
26% | Esbjerg
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
HB Køge - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(3.08) |
3.56 ↑
(3.5) |
2.11 ↓
(2.13) |
7.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Esbjerg?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Esbjerg will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esbjerg: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Esbjerg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Køge won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Esbjerg?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against HB Køge?
Esbjerg has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Esbjerg were as follows:
01.09.2025
Esbjerg
-
HB Køge
3:2
28.02.2025
HB Køge
-
Esbjerg
0:2
24.08.2024
Esbjerg
-
HB Køge
4:1
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 42 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 33:29 | 4 | 37 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Horsens | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | B.93 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Hobro | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Koge | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
