Result
03/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Espanyol
21.1% | Draw
24.9% | Real Madrid
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Espanyol - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.52 ↑
(4.43) |
3.83 ↓
(4.2) |
1.77 ↑
(1.68) |
4.6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Espanyol - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 1.
- Espanyol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Espanyol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:53. (average 0.6:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Espanyol won against Real Madrid?
Espanyol has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Espanyol?
Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Espanyol - Real Madrid were as follows:
20.09.2025
Real Madrid
-
Espanyol
2:0
01.02.2025
Espanyol
-
Real Madrid
1:0
21.09.2024
Real Madrid
-
Espanyol
4:1
11.03.2023
Real Madrid
-
Espanyol
3:1
28.08.2022
Espanyol
-
Real Madrid
1:3
Latest results of Espanyol
Latest results of Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona ✔ | 33 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 87:30 | 57 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid ✔ | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68:31 | 37 | 74 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 59:38 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 56:37 | 19 | 60 |
| 5 | Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 6 | Getafe | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 28:34 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 44 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 52:52 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 41 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 | Valencia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:48 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 14 | Elche | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 44:50 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Girona | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 38 |
| 16 | Alaves | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 40:55 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Levante | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 33 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
