Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
4:3
15/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1, Vizion+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K, MEGA
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
iranIranPersiana Sports
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, Prime Video Sportsbar IT
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, RTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoTDM TV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoFOX One
moldovaMoldovaJurnal TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, Canal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Nova Sport 3, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomHBO Max, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, VTV Prime
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.102.27
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
92
Passes
88% (565/640)78% (229/293)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.102.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.092.52
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
157
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
4121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1210
Passes
88% (565/640)78% (229/293)
Long passes
59% (26/44)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
81% (209/258)59% (46/78)
Crosses
44% (7/16)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.77
Throw ins
178
Fouls
1012
Tackles
73% (11/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.523.09
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Guler A. ⚽,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Pavlovic A. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
  • 29', Stanisic J. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 2, Guler A. ⚽,
  • 38', 2 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Upamecano D. (A),
  • 40', Eder Militao 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 3, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 44', Kompany V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Stanisic J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
  • 61', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
  • 62', Diaz B. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 70', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 78', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 86', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Diaz L. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
  • 90', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Pitarch T. ↑,
  • 90', Guler A. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
  • 90+4', 4 - 3, Olise M. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
  • 90+5', Guler A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
61.6%		Draw
16.4%		Real Madrid
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 19.1% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 18.3% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.57 ↓
    (1.58)    		 5.82 ↑
    (5)    		 4.39 ↓
    (4.62)    		 3.8%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 50 - 62.5%). Real will win (votes: 23 - 28.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 51.9% – 73.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 6 - 50%). Real (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Real (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Real (2.43) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Real (5.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Real (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2.
    • Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Real has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Bayern is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Cardozo M. (Thigh Injury) Karl L. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Ndiaye B. (Inactive) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Asencio R. (Illness) Courtois T. (Thigh Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Yellow Cards)
    • We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Real Madrid were as follows:
    07.04.2026 Real Madrid - Bayern Munich 1:2
    08.05.2024 Real Madrid - Bayern Munich 2:1
    30.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    11.04.2026 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:5 ✺
    07.04.2026 Real Madrid - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    04.04.2026 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    21.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0 ✺
    18.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Atalanta 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    10.04.2026 Real Madrid - Girona 1:1 ✺
    07.04.2026 Real Madrid - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    04.04.2026 Mallorca - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    17.03.2026 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1PSG (11)Bayern Munich (2)5 : 4
    2Atl. Madrid (14)Arsenal (1)1 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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