Result
15/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bayern Munich
62.2% | Draw
18.2% | Real Madrid
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.58) |
5.3 ↑
(5) |
4.94 ↑
(4.62) |
3.9%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Real will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 56.4% – 86.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2.
- Bayern is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Real's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Real Madrid?
Bayern Munich has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Bayern Munich?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Real Madrid were as follows:
07.04.2026
Real Madrid
-
Bayern Munich
1:2
08.05.2024
Real Madrid
-
Bayern Munich
2:1
30.04.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Real Madrid
2:2
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
