Espérance ST vs Étoile du Sahel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel
Result
3:0
26/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Belaili Y. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Belaili Y. (Pen),
  • 14', Jabri A. , Jebali C. ,
  • 23', Ben Choug F. 🟨,
  • 25', Ben Ali H. 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Jelassi H. , Jebali C. (A),
  • 39', Anan M. , Kante M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 0, Bouchniba R. , Mokwana E. (A),
  • 53', Ghedamsi S. , Chouchane M. ,
  • 54', Naouali G. , Camara C. ,
  • 63', Mokwana E. , Yan Sasse ,
  • 75', Ben Choug F. , Souissi I. ,
  • 80', Abid O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Espérance ST
55.2%
Draw
28.1%
Étoile du Sahel
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 32.3% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 34.2% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.
  • Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Étoile du Sahel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Étoile du Sahel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.6)
    3.28
    (2.8)
    5.54
    (2.75)
    8.4%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel?
  • Users Predictions: Espérance ST will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Espérance ST won 5.
    • Espérance ST is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Étoile du Sahel is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Espérance ST could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Espérance ST won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:8 (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Espérance ST won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:2
    12.05.2024 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel 3:2
    10.03.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:1
    24.02.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:2
    25.11.2023 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel 2:0
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Latest results of Étoile du Sahel
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esperance Tunis30199257:223566
    2Monastir301711242:113162
    3Etoile Sahel30194745:242161
    4Club Africain30159634:191554
    5Zarzis30166838:29954
    6Stade Tunisien301310729:21849
    7CS Sfaxien301111831:191244
    8Metlaoui301110932:27543
    9CA Bizertin30981329:28135
    10Soliman307101318:38-2031
    11Ben Guerdane306121228:33-530
    12Olympique Beja30781519:37-1829
    13AS Gabes30681618:38-2026
    14JS Omrane304141225:46-2126
    15EGS Gafsa30642024:43-1922
    16US Tataouine30542119:53-3419

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2