Espérance ST vs Étoile du Sahel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Espérance ST
64.8%
Draw
23.4%
Étoile du Sahel
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 23.8% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 23.1% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.41)
    3.95
    (3.8)
    7.83
    (7.55)
    8.4%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 5.
    • Espérance ST is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Étoile du Sahel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Espérance ST is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Espérance ST will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:8. (average 1.3:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel 3:0
    03.11.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:2
    12.05.2024 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel 3:2
    10.03.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:1
    24.02.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:2
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Latest results of Étoile du Sahel
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stade Tunisien85309:3618
    2Esperance Tunis852114:21217
    3Zarzis851212:8416
    4Club Africain851211:4716
    5Monastir83507:3414
    6JS Omrane83236:8-211
    7Metlaoui83234:6-211
    8CA Bizertin83236:5111
    9CS Sfaxien82428:7110
    10JS Kairouan83147:13-610
    11Etoile Sahel823310:919
    12AS Marsa82154:9-57
    13Soliman82154:8-47
    14Ben Guerdane81344:7-36
    15AS Gabes81343:10-76
    16Olympique Beja81252:9-75

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2