Espérance ST vs Étoile du Sahel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Yan Sasse , Guenichi K. (A),
  • 30', Belaili Y. 🟨,
  • 39', Ben Ali M. , Bouchniba R. ,
  • 45+1', Tougai M. , Ogbelu O. ,
  • 45+3', Benmazouz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yan Sasse , Boualia K. ,
  • 66', Benmazouz M. , Chaabani M. ,
  • 78', Jebali C. , Jelassi H. ,
  • 78', Danho F. , Jabri A. ,
  • 82', Ben Said B. 🟨,
  • 86', Ben Choug F. , Al Qulaib N. ,
  • 90+1', Boualia K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Espérance ST
62.9%
Draw
24.5%
Étoile du Sahel
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 23.8% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 23.1% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.41)
    3.78
    (3.8)
    7.31
    (7.55)
    8.2%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 5.
    • Espérance ST is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Étoile du Sahel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Espérance ST is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Espérance ST will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:8. (average 1.3:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel 3:0
    03.11.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:2
    12.05.2024 Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel 3:2
    10.03.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:1
    24.02.2024 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:2
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Latest results of Étoile du Sahel
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Club Africain1181217:61125
    2Stade Tunisien1073014:31124
    3Esperance Tunis1063115:21321
    4Zarzis1162315:11420
    5Metlaoui115337:7018
    6Monastir1045110:6417
    7CS Sfaxien1044213:7616
    8JS Omrane114349:10-115
    9CA Bizertin103346:7-112
    10JS Kairouan113178:21-1310
    11AS Marsa1031610:10010
    12Etoile Sahel1023511:12-19
    13Soliman112364:10-69
    14Ben Guerdane101546:9-38
    15Olympique Beja112274:19-158
    16AS Gabes111464:13-97

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2