Marsa vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
01/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Danho F. 🟨,
  • 44', Belaili Y. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Tougai M. , Jelassi H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Yan Sasse , Ogbelu O. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Danho F. ,
  • 69', Traidi O. , Neji F. ,
  • 69', Khaloui M. , Kalu G. ,
  • 74', Jebali C. , Jabri A. ,
  • 74', Danho F. , Boualia K. ,
  • 86', Hadhri A. , Kassi M. ,
  • 90+2', Belaili Y. , Koudhai A. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Jabri A. , Guenichi K. (A),

Chances of winning


Marsa
15.1%
Draw
26.6%
Espérance ST
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 28% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 27.5% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Marsa - Espérance ST Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.1
    (5.15)
    3.47
    (3.24)
    1.59
    (1.67)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Marsa - Espérance ST?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Espérance ST will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Espérance ST will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0.
    • Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Espérance ST is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Espérance ST has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Espérance ST is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Espérance ST were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Marsa - Espérance ST 0:1
    19.08.2023 Espérance ST - Marsa 1:0
    Latest results of Marsa
    24.09.2025 Stade Tunisien - Marsa 1:0
    18.09.2025 Marsa - Soliman 1:0
    11.09.2025 JS Kairouan - Marsa 2:1
    27.08.2025 Marsa - Monastir 0:0
    22.08.2025 Gabès - Marsa 2:1
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esperance Tunis22155239:73250
    2Club Africain22146233:82548
    3Stade Tunisien22128227:72044
    4CS Sfaxien22126429:111842
    5Monastir22910323:131037
    6Etoile Sahel2296722:18433
    7JS Omrane22841017:25-828
    8Zarzis2276920:23-327
    9Metlaoui2269714:23-927
    10AS Marsa22811320:24-425
    11CA Bizertin2267912:20-825
    12Ben Guerdane2259814:19-524
    13JS Kairouan22631315:33-1821
    14Olympique Beja22531411:34-2318
    15AS Gabes22381110:25-1517
    16Soliman2227139:25-1613

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2