Marsa vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Marsa - Espérance ST
Result
0:3
01/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Danho F. 🟨,
  • 44', Belaili Y. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Tougai M. , Jelassi H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Yan Sasse , Ogbelu O. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Danho F. ,
  • 69', Traidi O. , Neji F. ,
  • 69', Khaloui M. , Kalu G. ,
  • 74', Jebali C. , Jabri A. ,
  • 74', Danho F. , Boualia K. ,
  • 86', Hadhri A. , Kassi M. ,
  • 90+2', Belaili Y. , Koudhai A. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Jabri A. , Guenichi K. (A),

Chances of winning


Marsa
15.1%
Draw
26.6%
Espérance ST
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 28% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 27.5% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Marsa - Espérance ST Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.1
    (5.15)
    3.47
    (3.24)
    1.59
    (1.67)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Marsa - Espérance ST?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Espérance ST will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0.
    • Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Espérance ST is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Espérance ST has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Espérance ST is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Espérance ST were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Marsa - Espérance ST 0:1
    19.08.2023 Espérance ST - Marsa 1:0
    Latest results of Marsa
    24.09.2025 Stade Tunisien - Marsa 1:0
    18.09.2025 Marsa - Soliman 1:0
    11.09.2025 JS Kairouan - Marsa 2:1
    27.08.2025 Marsa - Monastir 0:0
    22.08.2025 Gabès - Marsa 2:1
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stade Tunisien963012:3921
    2Esperance Tunis962115:21320
    3Club Africain961212:4819
    4Monastir94509:4517
    5Zarzis951312:11116
    6CS Sfaxien934211:7413
    7CA Bizertin93336:5112
    8Metlaoui93335:7-212
    9JS Omrane93247:10-311
    10JS Kairouan93157:16-910
    11AS Marsa931510:9110
    12Etoile Sahel923410:1009
    13Soliman92254:8-48
    14Ben Guerdane91445:8-37
    15AS Gabes91353:11-86
    16Olympique Beja91262:15-135

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2