Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers
Result
46:37
12/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 5

Match Stats

Goals
64
Behinds
1013
Kicks
212206
Handballs
169143
Disposals
381349
Frees For
1622
Frees Against
2216
Clearances Completed
3133
Marks
11386
Tackles
5056
Hitouts
2939

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (22 - 18)
  • 02:40, Sonsie T. (Behind),
  • 03:24, Durham S. (G),
  • 09:38, Koschitzke J. (Behind),
  • 11:18, Banks S. (G),
  • 13:13, Hotton T. (G),
  • 15:11, Faull J. (Behind),
  • 18:24, Tsatas E. (G),
  • 20:12, Caddy N. (G),
  • 24:56, Rioli M. (Behind),
  • 29:10, Short J. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (1 - 6)
  • 02:12, May A. (Behind),
  • 08:08, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 10:47, Duursma X. (Behind),
  • 20:15, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:07, (Behind Rushed),
  • 26:08, Kako I. (Behind),
  • 27:18, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (4 - 10)
  • 02:21, Trainor L. (Behind),
  • 03:18, Hopper J. (Behind),
  • 04:53, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 09:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:57, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:33, May A. (G),
  • 17:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:08, Trainor L. (Behind),
  • 20:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 3)
  • 01:46, Trezise J. (Behind),
  • 04:58, Taranto T. (G),
  • 08:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:38, Hopper J. (G),
  • 16:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 17:27, Faull J. (G),
  • 23:31, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Richmond Tigers
33%
Essendon Bombers
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3)

    1.41
    (1.4)
    6.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
  • What is the prediction for Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Essendon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Essendon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.
    • Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
    • Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Essendon is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1760:1368. (average 88:68.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 720:633. (average 80:70.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 81:58
    25.05.2024 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 74:86
    20.05.2023 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 71:70
    Latest results of Richmond Tigers
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )