Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 5

Match Stats


Goals
6	4
Behinds
10	13
Kicks
212	206
Handballs
169	143
Disposals
381	349
Frees For
16	22
Frees Against
22	16
Clearances Completed
31	33
Marks
113	86
Tackles
50	56
Hitouts
29	39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (22 - 18)
02:40, Sonsie T. (Behind),
03:24, Durham S. (G),
09:38, Koschitzke J. (Behind),
11:18, Banks S. (G),
13:13, Hotton T. (G),
15:11, Faull J. (Behind),
18:24, Tsatas E. (G),
20:12, Caddy N. (G),
24:56, Rioli M. (Behind),
29:10, Short J. (G),
2nd Quarter (1 - 6)
02:12, May A. (Behind),
08:08, Wright P. (Behind),
10:47, Duursma X. (Behind),
20:15, (Behind Rushed),
24:07, (Behind Rushed),
26:08, Kako I. (Behind),
27:18, Hobbs B. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (4 - 10)
02:21, Trainor L. (Behind),
03:18, Hopper J. (Behind),
04:53, Caddy N. (Behind),
09:04, (Behind Rushed),
13:57, (Behind Rushed),
15:33, May A. (G),
17:04, (Behind Rushed),
19:08, Trainor L. (Behind),
20:54, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (19 - 3)
01:46, Trezise J. (Behind),
04:58, Taranto T. (G),
08:22, (Behind Rushed),
13:38, Hopper J. (G),
16:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
17:27, Faull J. (G),
23:31, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Richmond Tigers
33%

Essendon Bombers
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3)		1.41 ↑ (1.4)	6.5% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

What is the prediction for Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Essendon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -9.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -8.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -7.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Essendon Bombers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Essendon (votes: 13 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:89.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.
Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Essendon is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1760:1368. (average 88:68.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 720:633. (average 80:70.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Richmond Tigers won against Essendon Bombers?

Richmond Tigers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Essendon Bombers won against Richmond Tigers?

Essendon Bombers has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers were as follows:

23.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 81:58

25.05.2024 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 74:86

20.05.2023 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 71:70

Latest results of Richmond Tigers

05.07.2025 Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers 124:52 ✺

29.06.2025 Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows 54:122 ✺

22.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers 135:56 ✺

06.06.2025 Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans 36:80 ✺

31.05.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers 80:77 ✺

Latest results of Essendon Bombers

04.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns 74:115 ✺

19.06.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers 104:63 ✺

14.06.2025 Essendon Bombers - Geelong Cats 56:151 ✺

08.06.2025 Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers 78:70 ✺

29.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 90:72 ✺

AFL Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Sydney Swans	8	7	0	1	945:571	165.50	28
2	Fremantle Dockers	8	7	0	1	758:570	132.98	28
3	Hawthorn Hawks	8	6	1	1	829:684	121.20	26
4	Brisbane Lions	8	5	0	3	862:684	126.02	20
5	Gold Coast Suns	8	5	0	3	806:695	115.97	20
6	Geelong Cats	8	5	0	3	791:690	114.64	20
7	Melbourne Demons	8	5	0	3	811:809	100.25	20
8	Collingwood Magpies	8	4	1	3	666:613	108.65	18
9	St Kilda Saints	8	4	0	4	765:666	114.86	16
10	North Melbourne	8	4	0	4	764:720	106.11	16
11	Adelaide Crows	8	4	0	4	685:709	96.61	16
12	Western Bulldogs	8	4	0	4	720:787	91.49	16
13	Port Adelaide Power	8	3	0	5	703:634	110.88	12
14	GWS Giants	8	3	0	5	668:757	88.24	12
15	West Coast Eagles	8	2	0	6	557:939	59.32	8
16	Carlton Blues	8	1	0	7	634:812	78.08	4
17	Essendon Bombers	8	1	0	7	649:925	70.16	4
18	Richmond Tigers	8	1	0	7	523:871	60.05	4

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