Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Esteghlal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh).

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Philippines	Matchday+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	0.07
Ball Possession
68%	32%
Goal Attempts
22	3
Shots on Goal
12	2
Shots off Goal
9	1
Blocked Shots
1	0
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	9
Free Kicks
13	11
Offsides
3	1
Fouls
11	13
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
14	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
30	7
Passes
90% (551/611)	73% (213/290)
Passes in the final third
79% (130/165)	63% (37/59)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	0% (0/6)
Tackles
70% (14/20)	81% (17/21)
Clearances Total
13	27
Interceptions
9	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽,
17', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
45+2', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koushki A. ↓, Masharipov J. ↑,
46', Sohrabian A. ↓, Jalali A. ↑,
62', Kojo J. 🟨,
65', Kojo J. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
68', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
69', Simakan M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
77', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
77', Yahya A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
78', Mane S. ↓, Wesley ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Angelo (A),
87', Duran J. ↓, Maran M. ↑,
89', Hardani S. ↓, Salimi I. ↑,
89', Niknafs Z. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.1%

Draw
17.9%

Esteghlal
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

17.9%

14.2%

Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	5.25 ↑ (4.9)	9.42 ↑ (6.75)	6.3% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 65% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Esteghlal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Al-Nassr is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Esteghlal?

Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?

Esteghlal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal were as follows:

03.03.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:0

22.10.2024 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:1

Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh

07.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺

03.03.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Esteghlal

03.03.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:0 ✺

27.02.2025 Persepolis - Esteghlal 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Esteghlal - Nassaji Mazandaran 1:0 ✺

18.02.2025 Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal 0:2 ✺

13.02.2025 Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal 1:2 ✺

AFC Champions League Table

League phase

East

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9
2	Johor DT	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
4	Ulsan HD	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
5	Gangwon	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6
6	Buriram	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Melbourne City	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6
8	Seoul	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
9	Machida	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
10	Shanghai Shenhua	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
11	Chengdu Rongcheng	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
12	Shanghai Port	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

West

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hilal	4	4	0	0	10:5	5	12
2	Al Ahli SC	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10
3	Al Wahda	4	3	1	0	7:3	4	10
4	Tractor	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
5	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	Al Ittihad	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
7	Al-Duhail	4	1	1	2	8:8	0	4
8	Al Sharjah	4	1	1	2	5:12	-7	4
9	Al-Gharafa	4	1	0	3	6:10	-4	3
10	Al-Sadd	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
11	Al Shorta	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
12	Nasaf Qarshi	4	0	0	4	6:13	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)