Result
3:0
10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Philippines | Matchday+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Tving |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (551/611) | 73% (213/290) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 79% (130/165) | 63% (37/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 0% (0/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 81% (17/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽,
- 17', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
- 45+2', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Koushki A. ↓, Masharipov J. ↑,
- 46', Sohrabian A. ↓, Jalali A. ↑,
- 62', Kojo J. 🟨,
- 65', Kojo J. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
- 68', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
- 69', Simakan M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 77', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
- 77', Yahya A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
- 78', Mane S. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 84', 3 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Angelo (A),
- 87', Duran J. ↓, Maran M. ↑,
- 89', Hardani S. ↓, Salimi I. ↑,
- 89', Niknafs Z. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.1% | Draw
17.9% | Esteghlal
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.35) |
5.25 ↑
(4.9) |
9.42 ↑
(6.75) |
6.3%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 65% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Esteghlal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Al-Nassr is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Esteghlal?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Esteghlal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal were as follows:
03.03.2025
Esteghlal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:0
22.10.2024
Esteghlal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:1
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Esteghlal
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
