Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Esteghlal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
philippinesPhilippinesMatchday+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.07
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
223
Shots on Goal
122
Shots off Goal
91
Blocked Shots
10
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
29
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
31
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1416
Touches in the Opposition Box
307
Passes
90% (551/611)73% (213/290)
Passes in the final third
79% (130/165)63% (37/59)
Crosses
20% (4/20)0% (0/6)
Tackles
70% (14/20)81% (17/21)
Clearances Total
1327
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Duran J. ,
  • 17', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
  • 45+2', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Koushki A. , Masharipov J. ,
  • 46', Sohrabian A. , Jalali A. ,
  • 62', Kojo J. 🟨,
  • 65', Kojo J. , Azadi M. R. ,
  • 68', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
  • 69', Simakan M. , Lajami A. ,
  • 77', Al Hassan A. , Al Sulaiheem A. ,
  • 77', Yahya A. , Angelo ,
  • 78', Mane S. , Wesley ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Duran J. , Angelo (A),
  • 87', Duran J. , Maran M. ,
  • 89', Hardani S. , Salimi I. ,
  • 89', Niknafs Z. , Zamani A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.1%
Draw
17.9%
Esteghlal
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.7% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 17.9% 14.2%

Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.31
(1.35)
5.25
(4.9)
9.42
(6.75)
6.3%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Esteghlal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Al-Nassr is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:0
    22.10.2024 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)