Result
3:0
10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
China | iQIYI, Migu |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
Philippines | Matchday+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-korea | Tving |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Ukraine | Sport 1 |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Vietnam | FPT Play |
World | Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.45 | 0.07 |
Ball Possession |
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68% | 32% |
Goal Attempts |
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22 | 3 |
Shots on Goal |
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12 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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8 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 9 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 11 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Fouls |
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11 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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14 | 16 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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30 | 7 |
Passes |
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90% (551/611) | 73% (213/290) |
Passes in the final third |
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79% (130/165) | 63% (37/59) |
Crosses |
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20% (4/20) | 0% (0/6) |
Tackles |
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70% (14/20) | 81% (17/21) |
Clearances Total |
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13 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽,
- 17', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
- 45+2', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Koushki A. ↓, Masharipov J. ↑,
- 46', Sohrabian A. ↓, Jalali A. ↑,
- 62', Kojo J. 🟨,
- 65', Kojo J. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
- 68', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
- 69', Simakan M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 77', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
- 77', Yahya A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
- 78', Mane S. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 84', 3 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Angelo (A),
- 87', Duran J. ↓, Maran M. ↑,
- 89', Hardani S. ↓, Salimi I. ↑,
- 89', Niknafs Z. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh 72.1% | Draw 17.9% | Esteghlal 10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.35) |
5.25 ↑ (4.9) |
9.42 ↑ (6.75) |
6.3% (9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 65% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Esteghlal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Al-Nassr is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Esteghlal?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Esteghlal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal were as follows:
03.03.2025
Esteghlal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:0
22.10.2024
Esteghlal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:1
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Esteghlal
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |