Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
16.4%
Draw
19.5%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.3% 19.6% 63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 19% 65.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.62
    (5.37)
    4.73
    (4.73)
    1.43
    (1.47)
    8.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0.
    • Al-Shabab has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Nassr is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:2
    07.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2
    18.10.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:2
    25.02.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3
    11.12.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:5
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 31261482:245879
    2Al Hilal30228079:255474
    3Al Ahli SC30216359:223769
    4Al Qadsiah31208374:324268
    5Al Taawon31157957:411652
    6Al Ittihad29146947:38948
    7Al Ettifaq301361144:51-745
    8Neom SC311181240:44-441
    9Al Hazem311081334:53-1938
    10Al Khaleej301071351:48337
    11Al Fayha30981336:46-1035
    12Al Fateh30891338:51-1333
    13Al Shabab307111238:48-1032
    14Al Kholood30931839:58-1930
    15Damac315111527:49-2226
    16Al Riyadh30581730:58-2823
    17Al Okhdood31442324:68-4416
    18Al Najma ✔ 30252329:72-4311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1