Result
07/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh 16.4% | Draw 19.5% | Al-Nassr Riyadh 64.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.62 ↑ (5.37) |
4.73 ↓ (4.73) |
1.43 ↓ (1.47) |
8.7% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0.
- Al-Shabab has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Nassr is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
17.01.2026
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
07.03.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:2
18.10.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:2
25.02.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:3
11.12.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:5
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1