Esteghlal vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad
Result
1:1
03/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
philippinesPhilippinesMatchday+
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.68
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
148
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
711
Offsides
46
Fouls
117
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
1718
Touches in the Opposition Box
1913
Passes
80% (302/379)81% (318/395)
Passes in the final third
56% (64/115)70% (71/102)
Crosses
42% (10/24)20% (4/20)
Tackles
56% (10/18)89% (8/9)
Clearances Total
2525
Interceptions
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Kojo J. , Jalali A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jassem S. , Amin R. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Amin R. , Al Mawas M. (A),
  • 58', Azadi M. R. , Koushki A. ,
  • 69', Salimi I. , Sohrabian A. ,
  • 73', Moumouni B. , Shakir B. ,
  • 87', Ali H. , Mohammed Dawood ,
  • 87', Al Mawas M. , Souza L. ,
  • 87', Ahmadi M. , Juma M. ,
  • 90+11', Youssef F. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Youssef F. , Qasim A. ,

Chances of winning


Esteghlal
63.9%
Draw
22.1%
Al-Shorta Baghdad
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 20.6% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 19.4% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    4.22
    (4.55)
    6.63
    (7.46)
    7.4%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Esteghlal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Al-Shorta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Al-Shorta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Esteghlal is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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