Result
1:1
03/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Philippines | Matchday+ |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Tving |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (302/379) | 81% (318/395) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (64/115) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 20% (4/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 89% (8/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kojo J. ⚽, Jalali A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jassem S. ↓, Amin R. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Amin R. ⚽, Al Mawas M. (A),
- 58', Azadi M. R. ↓, Koushki A. ↑,
- 69', Salimi I. ↓, Sohrabian A. ↑,
- 73', Moumouni B. ↓, Shakir B. ↑,
- 87', Ali H. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
- 87', Al Mawas M. ↓, Souza L. ↑,
- 87', Ahmadi M. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
- 90+11', Youssef F. 🟨,
- 90+11', Youssef F. ↓, Qasim A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Esteghlal
63.9% | Draw
22.1% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.4) |
4.22 ↓
(4.55) |
6.63 ↓
(7.46) |
7.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Esteghlal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Al-Shorta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Al-Shorta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Esteghlal is certain favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Esteghlal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Esteghlal?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
Latest results of Esteghlal
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
