Estepona vs Leganés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa del Rey Estepona - Leganés
Result
2:3 penalties
04/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
spainSpainM+ LaLiga 3
usaUsaESPN+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
28%72%
Goal Attempts
819
Shots on Goal
411
Shots off Goal
48
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
92
Free Kicks
2126
Offsides
43
Fouls
2016
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2726

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Mesa R. ,
  • 41', Riera O. 🟨,
  • 43', Carrasco A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Bachiller I. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Munir El Haddadi , Altimira A. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 1, Orobio E. , Carrasco A. (A),
  • 64', Orobio E. , Rodriguez H. ,
  • 72', Carrasco A. , Aguilera J. ,
  • 72', Mesa R. , Dago J. ,
  • 72', Chicco J. , Raba D. ,
  • 72', Lopez R. , Garcia D. ,
  • 72', Porozo J. , Rodriguez O. ,
  • 80', Cisse S. , Tapia R. ,
  • 80', Liceras A. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Hernandez J. , Garcia D. (A),
  • 83', Soria Blazquez R. , Garcia J. ,
  • 83', Marchena A. , Lara F. ,
  • 84', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 97', Altimira A. , Rosier V. ,
  • 104', Rodriguez O. 🟨,
  • 119', Candelas A. , Lafarge R. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Rodriguez H. (Pen),
  • 1, Rodriguez O. (Pen),
  • 2, Dago J. (Pen),
  • 2, Tapia R. (Pen),
  • 3, Garcia J. (Pen),
  • 3, Garcia D. (Pen),
  • 4, Goma I. (Pen),
  • 4, Munir El Haddadi (Pen),
  • 5, Caro J. (Pen),
  • 5, Cruz J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estepona
16.9%
Draw
28.1%
Leganés
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 25.3% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4% 24.7% 63.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leganés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leganés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estepona - Leganés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.5
    (7.3)
    3.36
    (3.65)
    1.7
    (1.49)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Estepona - Leganés?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Estepona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Leganés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Leganés is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Estepona
    30.11.2024 Estepona - Almeria B 0:1
    24.11.2024 Antoniano - Estepona 2:1
    17.11.2024 Estepona - La Unión 0:1
    10.11.2024 Granada B - Estepona 0:1
    Latest results of Leganés
    24.11.2024 Leganés - Real Madrid 0:3
    09.11.2024 Leganés - Sevilla 1:0
    02.11.2024 Girona - Leganés 4:3
    Draw
    2025/26

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