Result
0:2
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', 0 - 1, Exposito S. ⚽,
- 82', 0 - 2, Herrero A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Escobar Hernandez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorca Deportiva
39.6% | Draw
30.8% | Estepona
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorca Deportiva's form might have worsened.Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lorca Deportiva - Estepona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.94) |
2.96 ↓
(3.12) |
3.07 ↓
(3.73) |
9.9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Lorca Deportiva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Estepona?
Lorca Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against Lorca Deportiva?
Estepona has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - Estepona were as follows:
02.11.2025
Estepona
-
Lorca Deportiva
1:3
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Latest results of Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xerez CD | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 51 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Recreativo Huelva | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35:17 | 18 | 48 |
| 6 | CD Extremadura | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Jaen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Linares | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 25:25 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | La Union | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Xerez D.F.C | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Melilla | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20:40 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Malaga B is Relegated to
