Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Punal A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Ale Conteras ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estepona
30.1% | Draw
31.3% | UCAM Murcia
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Estepona - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
2.93 ↑
(2.81) |
2.38 ↓
(2.51) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Recent performances by Estepona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UCAM Murcia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against UCAM Murcia?
Estepona has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Estepona?
UCAM Murcia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
25.10.2025
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
2:0
19.01.2025
Estepona
-
UCAM Murcia
1:1
08.09.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
1:0
24.03.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
1:0
12.11.2023
Estepona
-
UCAM Murcia
1:0
Latest results of Estepona
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 48:35 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | UCAM Murcia | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 47:34 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Deportiva Minera | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:29 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 37:21 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 29:29 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | La Union | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Melilla | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 25:59 | -34 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
