Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Punal A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Ale Conteras ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estepona
30.1% | Draw
31.3% | UCAM Murcia
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Estepona - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
2.93 ↑
(2.81) |
2.38 ↓
(2.51) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Recent performances by Estepona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UCAM Murcia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against UCAM Murcia?
Estepona has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Estepona?
UCAM Murcia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
25.10.2025
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
2:0
19.01.2025
Estepona
-
UCAM Murcia
1:1
08.09.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
1:0
24.03.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
1:0
12.11.2023
Estepona
-
UCAM Murcia
1:0
Latest results of Estepona
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xerez CD | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 51 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Recreativo Huelva | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35:17 | 18 | 48 |
| 6 | CD Extremadura | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Jaen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Linares | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 25:25 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | La Union | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Xerez D.F.C | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Melilla | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20:40 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Malaga B is Relegated to
