Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (316/414) | 76% (298/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (316/414) | 76% (298/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (29/78) | 34% (22/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 60% (59/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 11', Santos A. ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
- 12', 1 - 0, Lominadze N. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Carvalho J. ⚽, Guitane R. (A),
- 36', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 38', Kiki 🟨,
- 39', Algobia A. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 45+4', Boma K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 3 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 55', Barbosa R. 🟨,
- 64', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 66', Perea O. ↓, Bane S. ↑,
- 66', Kiki ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 66', Lourenco B. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 67', Amaral P. 🟨,
- 72', Begraoui Y. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 72', Holsgrove J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 72', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 72', Lominadze N. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Spencer D. ⚽,
- 90+4', Parente T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
54.3% | Draw
24.9% | AVS
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Estoril Praia - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.67) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
4.48 ↑
(4.2) |
5.7%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - AVS?
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estoril Praia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estoril is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AVS: Bane S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Estoril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against AVS?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estoril Praia?
AVS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - AVS were as follows:
04.04.2025
AVS
-
Estoril Praia
0:3
09.11.2024
Estoril Praia
-
AVS
0:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
