Estoril Praia vs AVS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Estoril Praia - AVS
Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 5
  • Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.95
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
76% (316/414)76% (298/393)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.95
xG on target (xGOT)
3.010.87
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
76% (316/414)76% (298/393)
Long passes
37% (29/78)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)60% (59/99)
Crosses
33% (1/3)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.31
Throw-ins
1031
Fouls
1111
Tackles
82% (14/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
299
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
14
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.873.01
Goals prevented
-0.130.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 11', Santos A. , Paulo Vitor ,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Lominadze N. , Sanchez R. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 0, Carvalho J. , Guitane R. (A),
  • 36', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
  • 38', Kiki 🟨,
  • 39', Algobia A. , Barbosa R. ,
  • 45+4', Boma K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 3 - 0, Sanchez R. , Carvalho J. (A),
  • 55', Barbosa R. 🟨,
  • 64', Sanchez R. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 66', Perea O. , Bane S. ,
  • 66', Kiki , Neiva G. ,
  • 66', Lourenco B. , Duarte D. ,
  • 67', Amaral P. 🟨,
  • 72', Begraoui Y. , Lacximicant A. ,
  • 72', Holsgrove J. , Pizzi ,
  • 72', Amaral P. , Parente T. ,
  • 72', Lominadze N. , Brito T. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Spencer D. ,
  • 90+4', Parente T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
54.3%
Draw
24.9%
AVS
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 23.2% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Estoril Praia - AVS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.67)
    3.76
    (3.5)
    4.48
    (4.2)
    5.7%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - AVS?
  • Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estoril Praia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estoril is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury) Xeka (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AVS: Bane S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Estoril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - AVS were as follows:
    04.04.2025 AVS - Estoril Praia 0:3
    09.11.2024 Estoril Praia - AVS 0:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Latest results of AVS
    30.08.2025 AVS - Famalicão 0:1
    24.08.2025 Braga - AVS 2:2
    15.08.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 0:2
    09.08.2025 Arouca - AVS 3:1
    20.07.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - AVS 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Gil Vicente851210:4616
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Vitoria Guimaraes83239:12-311
    8Alverca831411:12-110
    9Nacional83149:12-310
    10Braga723211:749
    11Santa Clara82246:10-48
    12Casa Pia82248:13-58
    13Arouca72239:18-98
    14Estrela81436:8-27
    15Estoril813410:13-36
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS80175:20-151

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2