Result
3:0
15/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (159/241) | 85% (503/593) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (159/241) | 85% (503/593) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 72% (137/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 11% (4/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (23/29) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -1.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Mendonca G. 🟨,
- 43', Rivas L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', Rivas L. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 53', Mendonca G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Duarte D. ⚽,
- 61', Amaral P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 61', Jandro ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 68', Pedro Lima ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 72', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Tomane ⚽,
- 77', Duarte D. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 77', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 81', Guitane R. 🟨,
- 84', Guitane R. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
- 90', Ferro 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 0, Algobia A. ⚽, Nene (A),
Chances of winning
AVS
22.6% | Draw
23.9% | Estoril Praia
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
AVS - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.19 ↑
(3.86) |
3.96 ↑
(3.75) |
1.77 ↓
(1.88) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AVS - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estoril Praia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
- AVS is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Estoril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estoril is the team to beat.
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
Tsoungui A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in AVS: Paulo Vitor
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Ferro
(Injury)
Lacximicant A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estoril Praia?
AVS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against AVS?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Estoril Praia were as follows:
13.09.2025
Estoril Praia
-
AVS
3:1
04.04.2025
AVS
-
Estoril Praia
0:3
09.11.2024
Estoril Praia
-
AVS
0:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
