Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (316/414) | 76% (298/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (316/414) | 76% (298/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (29/78) | 34% (22/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 60% (59/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 11', Santos A. ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
- 12', 1 - 0, Lominadze N. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Carvalho J. ⚽, Guitane R. (A),
- 36', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 38', Kiki 🟨,
- 39', Algobia A. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 45+4', Boma K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 3 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 55', Barbosa R. 🟨,
- 64', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 66', Perea O. ↓, Bane S. ↑,
- 66', Kiki ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 66', Lourenco B. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 67', Amaral P. 🟨,
- 72', Begraoui Y. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 72', Holsgrove J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 72', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 72', Lominadze N. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Spencer D. ⚽,
- 90+4', Parente T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
54.3% | Draw
24.9% | AVS
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Estoril Praia - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.67) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
4.48 ↑
(4.2) |
5.7%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - AVS?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Estoril (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estoril Praia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Estoril (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estoril is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AVS: Bane S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Estoril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against AVS?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Estoril Praia?
AVS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - AVS were as follows:
04.04.2025
AVS
-
Estoril Praia
0:3
09.11.2024
Estoril Praia
-
AVS
0:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 41 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | AFS | 18 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11:44 | -33 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
