AVS vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Football Liga Portugal AVS - Estoril Praia
Result
0:3
04/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.42
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
76% (290/383)80% (378/471)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.543.98
Total shots
914
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
828
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
76% (290/383)80% (378/471)
Long passes
26% (17/65)48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
50% (36/72)65% (85/131)
Crosses
20% (2/10)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.362.10
Fouls
1318
Tackles
64% (9/14)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4649
Clearances Total
2421
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.980.54
Goals prevented
0.980.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Lacximicant A. ⚽,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Begraoui Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mendonca G. ↓, Assuncao G. A. ↑,
  • 46', Nene ↓, Ze Luis ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 3, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Pina W. (A),
  • 56', Lopes V. 🟨,
  • 61', Lacximicant A. ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
  • 65', Kiki ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
  • 65', Lopes V. ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
  • 65', Rodriguez N. ↓, Roux B. ↑,
  • 69', Xeka ↓, Jandro ↑,
  • 70', Begraoui Y. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
  • 73', Ze Luis 🟨,
  • 83', Carvalho J. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
  • 87', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Boma K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AVS
31.1%		Draw
30.6%		Estoril Praia
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.3% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 28.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Estoril Praia aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    AVS - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3 ↑
    (2.76)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.14)    		 2.47
    (2.47)    		 6.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
    •
    What is the prediction for AVS - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AVS (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Estoril (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 9).
    • AVS is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Estoril is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in AVS: Rodrigues R. (Injury) Santos A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Robles J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AVS: Rodrigues G. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Estoril Praia - AVS 0:0
    Latest results of AVS
    30.03.2025 Famalicão - AVS 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 AVS - Arouca 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 AVS - Sporting Lisbon 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2 ✺
    03.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 3:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Rio Ave 2:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Nacional - Estoril Praia 2:2 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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