Casa Pia vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior).

Liga Portugal - Round 31
Referee: Neves G. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Portugal	DAZN 1, Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.62
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
71% (213/298)	83% (367/440)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.59	2.02
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
15	17
Accurate through passes
0	3
Offsides
3	5
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
71% (213/298)	83% (367/440)
Long passes
41% (30/73)	43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
48% (46/95)	69% (87/126)
Crosses
11% (2/18)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	0.97
Throw-ins
25	12
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
62% (8/13)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
45	41
Clearances
25	44
Interceptions
11	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
2.02	1.59
Goals prevented
-0.98	0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Cassiano 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Cassiano (Pen),
45+2', Mohamed I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Livolant J. 🟥,
64', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
70', Pablo Roberto ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
70', Cassiano ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
70', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
70', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
70', Alvaro P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
76', Begraoui Y. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
81', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
81', Pereira H. ↓, Caue ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Marques A. ⚽,
83', Pina W. 🟥,
87', 1 - 3, Carvalho J. ⚽, Guitane R. (A),
90', Mohamed I. ↓, Na Nhaga R. S. ↑,
90+1', Holsgrove J. ↓, Jandro ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Casa Pia
38.4%

Draw
31.8%

Estoril Praia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Casa Pia - Estoril Praia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)	2.98 ↓ (3.14)	3.15 ↓ (3.51)	6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Estoril Praia?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 50%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Estoril (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1.
Recent matches Casa Pia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Estoril is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Casa Pia: Geraldes A. (Yellow Cards) Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury) Osundina K. (Injury) Tchamba D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Casa Pia: Svensson M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Estoril: Xeka (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:16 (average 0.7:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Estoril Praia?

Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Casa Pia?

Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estoril Praia were as follows:

15.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 0:2

08.04.2024 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 0:0

10.11.2023 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 4:0

21.05.2023 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 2:2

16.01.2023 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 2:0

Latest results of Casa Pia

19.04.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Farense - Casa Pia 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Estoril Praia

19.04.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Famalicão - Estoril Praia 3:0 ✺

04.04.2025 AVS - Estoril Praia 0:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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