Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 8
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/387) | 72% (271/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/387) | 72% (271/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (52/94) | 50% (42/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Lominadze N. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 27', Guitane R. ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
- 28', 1 - 1, Kaique Rocha ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
- 34', Carvalho P. 🟨,
- 37', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Livolant J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lominadze N. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 46', Carvalho P. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 46', Marques A. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
- 51', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 59', Carvalho J. 🟨,
- 63', Miguel Sousa ↓, Morais T. ↑,
- 73', Nhaga R. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 73', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Cassiano ↑,
- 77', Azevedo D. 🟨,
- 80', Sousa D. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Carvalho J. ⚽,
- 88', Kaique Rocha ↓, Goulart J. ↑,
- 88', Perez S. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
34.3% | Draw
29.7% | Estoril Praia
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estoril Praia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estoril Praia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Casa Pia - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.14) |
3.18 ↓
(3.45) |
2.65 ↓
(3.16) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Prieto K.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Conte A.
(Inactive)
Kaique Rocha
(Injury)
Mandic I.
(Inactive)
Nsona K.
(Injury)
Oukili Y.
(Injury)
Sequeira P.
(Injury)
Severina X.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
Sanchez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Estoril Praia?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Casa Pia?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estoril Praia were as follows:
29.04.2025
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
1:3
15.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
0:2
08.04.2024
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
0:0
10.11.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
4:0
21.05.2023
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
