Casa Pia vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Estoril Praia
03/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 8
  • Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
37.9%
Draw
28.3%
Estoril Praia
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.
  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Casa Pia - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.14)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    2.81
    (3.16)
    5.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R. (Injury) Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury) Prieto K. (Inactive) Tchamba D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Conte A. (Inactive) Kaique Rocha (Injury) Mandic I. (Inactive) Nsona K. (Injury) Oukili Y. (Injury) Sequeira P. (Injury) Severina X. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive) Sanchez R. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3
    15.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 0:2
    08.04.2024 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 0:0
    10.11.2023 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 4:0
    21.05.2023 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 2:2
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    27.09.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 2:1
    21.09.2025 Casa Pia - Famalicão 1:1
    14.09.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:2
    30.08.2025 Casa Pia - Nacional 0:2
    24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Moreirense750210:8215
    5Gil Vicente74128:4413
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Braga723211:749
    8Santa Clara72235:8-38
    9Vitoria Guimaraes72237:11-48
    10Arouca72239:18-98
    11Estrela71426:607
    12Alverca72148:11-37
    13Nacional72146:10-47
    14Casa Pia72146:11-57
    15Estoril71248:11-35
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS70164:17-131

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