Result
1:3
29/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Neves G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (213/298) | 83% (367/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (213/298) | 83% (367/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/73) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (46/95) | 69% (87/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Cassiano 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Cassiano (Pen),
- 45+2', Mohamed I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Livolant J. 🟥,
- 64', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 70', Pablo Roberto ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 70', Cassiano ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
- 70', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 70', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 70', Alvaro P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 76', Begraoui Y. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 81', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 81', Pereira H. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Marques A. ⚽,
- 83', Pina W. 🟥,
- 87', 1 - 3, Carvalho J. ⚽, Guitane R. (A),
- 90', Mohamed I. ↓, Na Nhaga R. S. ↑,
- 90+1', Holsgrove J. ↓, Jandro ↑,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
38.4% | Draw
31.8% | Estoril Praia
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Casa Pia - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.21) |
2.98 ↓
(3.14) |
3.15 ↓
(3.51) |
6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 50%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Estoril (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1.
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Estoril is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Geraldes A.
(Yellow Cards)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Osundina K.
(Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Svensson M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Xeka
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:16 (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Estoril Praia?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Casa Pia?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estoril Praia were as follows:
15.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
0:2
08.04.2024
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
0:0
10.11.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
4:0
21.05.2023
Casa Pia
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
16.01.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Casa Pia
2:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
