Result
3:2
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Mella M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Porrua P. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estradense
61.5% | Draw
24.2% | Barbadás
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+2%)
Estradense - Barbadás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47
(1.47) |
3.75 ↓
(3.9) |
6.33 ↓
(6.48) |
10.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Estradense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barbadás's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Estradense is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estradense won against Barbadás?
Estradense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barbadás won against Estradense?
Barbadás has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estradense - Barbadás were as follows:
26.10.2025
Barbadás
-
Estradense
0:4
29.09.2024
Estradense
-
Barbadás
4:2
21.01.2024
Estradense
-
Barbadás
1:1
Latest results of Estradense
Latest results of Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 41:20 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 47:29 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Somozas | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 29:19 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Gran Pena | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Estradense | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Arteixo | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Barco | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Celtiga | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 35 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Alondras | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Lugo B | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Boiro | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 | Cambados | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 21 |
| 17 | Noia | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18:42 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 16:44 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
