Gran Peña vs Estradense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Fran Lopez ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Coira A. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
33.7%
Draw
30.4%
Estradense
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 29.4% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 30.1% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Gran Peña - Estradense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.63)
    2.97
    (3.06)
    2.52
    (2.47)
    10.7%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Estradense were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 0:0
    02.02.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:2
    22.09.2024 Gran Peña - Estradense 0:1
    07.01.2024 Estradense - Gran Peña 1:2
    19.03.2023 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    14.02.2026 Somozas - Gran Peña 1:1
    08.02.2026 Gran Peña - Montañeros 1:1
    01.02.2026 Arosa - Gran Peña 1:0
    18.01.2026 Gran Peña - Noia 5:0
    Latest results of Estradense
    18.02.2026 Céltiga - Estradense 2:1
    14.02.2026 Estradense - Silva SD 2:1
    25.01.2026 Boiro - Estradense 1:2
    18.01.2026 Barco - Estradense 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arosa SC331910455:332267
    2Compostela331811454:282665
    3Atletico Arteixo33169852:421057
    4Boiro331311943:271650
    5Estradense331311943:321150
    6Somozas331311935:30550
    7Racing Club Villalbes331213834:28649
    8Lugo B331212940:33748
    9Gran Pena331212952:411148
    10Barco331371334:38-446
    11Montaneros3311121044:41345
    12Alondras331191343:48-542
    13Celtiga331171545:45040
    14Viveiro339111327:40-1338
    15Silva SD33981634:46-1235
    16Cambados334141523:39-1626
    17Noia33672027:52-2525
    18Barbadas-Bentraces33472225:67-4219

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