Choco vs Estradense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Choco - Estradense
Result
0:1
06/04/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Chances of winning


Choco
27.2%
Draw
28.5%
Estradense
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 30.4% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choco's form might have worsened.
  • Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estradense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estradense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Choco - Estradense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.43)
    3.14
    (2.88)
    2.03
    (2.62)
    11.4%
    (14%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Choco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Estradense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estradense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Choco - Estradense were as follows:
    11.12.2022 Estradense - Choco 1:0
    Latest results of Choco
    01.04.2023 Arosa - Choco 1:0
    18.03.2023 Paiosaco - Choco 1:0
    12.03.2023 Choco - Barco 0:2
    04.03.2023 RC Villalbes - Choco 2:0
    Latest results of Estradense
    25.03.2023 Silva SD - Estradense 1:2
    19.03.2023 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:0
    12.03.2023 Viveiro - Estradense 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2