Choco vs Estradense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
06/04/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Chances of winning


Choco
27.2%
Draw
28.5%
Estradense
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 30.4% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choco's form might have worsened.
  • Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estradense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choco than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estradense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Choco - Estradense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.43)
    3.14
    (2.88)
    2.03
    (2.62)
    11.4%
    (14%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Choco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Estradense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estradense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Choco - Estradense were as follows:
    11.12.2022 Estradense - Choco 1:0
    Latest results of Choco
    01.04.2023 Arosa - Choco 1:0
    18.03.2023 Paiosaco - Choco 1:0
    12.03.2023 Choco - Barco 0:2
    04.03.2023 RC Villalbes - Choco 2:0
    Latest results of Estradense
    25.03.2023 Silva SD - Estradense 1:2
    19.03.2023 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:0
    12.03.2023 Viveiro - Estradense 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela26158341:202153
    2Arosa SC26158348:291953
    3Somozas26119627:21642
    4Racing Club Villalbes261011529:191041
    5Atletico Arteixo26109738:32639
    6Gran Pena26911638:30838
    7Barco261151027:27038
    8Estradense26910734:26837
    9Lugo B26910729:29037
    10Celtiga261061038:32636
    11Boiro2699829:23636
    12Alondras26971034:36-234
    13Montaneros26810834:31334
    14Viveiro26781120:32-1229
    15Silva SD26661418:34-1624
    16Cambados263121117:26-921
    17Noia26461618:42-2418
    18Barbadas-Bentraces26371616:46-3016

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