Result
2:2
25/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 3
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra, Ring |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/301) | 68% (164/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/301) | 68% (164/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 24% (11/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (52/88) | 40% (23/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', Gastao J. 🟨,
- 21', Luan Patrick 🟨,
- 23', Naves 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Nuozzi C. ⚽, James I. (A),
- 44', Marezi 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Marezi ⚽,
- 45+7', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Gastao J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Stoica I. ↓, Kikas ↑,
- 46', Gastao J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
- 47', Moreira P. 🟥,
- 54', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
- 54', Luan Patrick ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 59', Kikas (Pen),
- 62', Naves 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 2, Cabral S. ⚽,
- 65', Nuozzi C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 67', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 68', Chiquinho 🟨,
- 75', Robinho 🟨,
- 78', Marcus A. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 80', Mendes T. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 81', Marezi ↓, Leite T. ↑,
- 86', Cabral S. 🟨,
- 89', Chiquinho ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
- 89', James I. ↓, Chissumba ↑,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
40.2% | Draw
31.6% | Alverca
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela da Amadora's form might have worsened.Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Estrela da Amadora - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.05) |
3.03 ↓
(3.25) |
3.44 ↓
(3.8) |
4.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Alverca will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alverca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Estrela could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Estrela: Ngom O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Alverca: Matheus Mendes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Montoia G.
(Injury)
Robinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Alverca?
Estrela da Amadora has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Estrela da Amadora?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Alverca were as follows:
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
