Estrela da Amadora vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
2:2
25/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 3
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra, Ring
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.641.17
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (235/301)68% (164/241)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.641.17
xG on target (xGOT)
2.341.23
Total shots
196
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2316
Passes
78% (235/301)68% (164/241)
Long passes
44% (24/55)24% (11/46)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)40% (23/58)
Crosses
37% (7/19)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.40
Throw-ins
2724
Fouls
1824
Tackles
59% (10/17)85% (17/20)
Duels won
6852
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.232.34
Goals prevented
-0.770.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', Gastao J. 🟨,
  • 21', Luan Patrick 🟨,
  • 23', Naves 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Nuozzi C. ⚽, James I. (A),
  • 44', Marezi 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Marezi ⚽,
  • 45+7', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Gastao J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Stoica I. ↓, Kikas ↑,
  • 46', Gastao J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
  • 47', Moreira P. 🟥,
  • 54', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
  • 54', Luan Patrick ↓, Robinho ↑,
  • 59', Kikas (Pen),
  • 62', Naves 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Cabral S. ⚽,
  • 65', Nuozzi C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
  • 67', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 68', Chiquinho 🟨,
  • 75', Robinho 🟨,
  • 78', Marcus A. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
  • 80', Mendes T. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
  • 81', Marezi ↓, Leite T. ↑,
  • 86', Cabral S. 🟨,
  • 89', Chiquinho ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
  • 89', James I. ↓, Chissumba ↑,

Chances of winning


Estrela da Amadora
40.2%		Draw
31.6%		Alverca
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 29.1% 24.9%

Estrela da Amadora - Alverca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.36 ↑
(2.05)		 3.03 ↓
(3.25)		 3.44 ↓
(3.8)		 4.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Alverca?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Alverca will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 56.3% – 96.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Alverca (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Alverca (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Alverca (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Alverca (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Alverca (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Alverca (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Alverca (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Alverca (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Alverca (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alverca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Alverca (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estrela could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Estrela: Ngom O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Alverca: Matheus Mendes (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Estrela: Montoia G. (Injury) Robinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    16.08.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Benfica 0:1 ✺
    11.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora 1:1 ✺
    03.08.2025 Farense - Estrela da Amadora 1:0 ✺
    29.07.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses 1:2
    17.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Alverca
    17.08.2025 Alverca - Braga 0:3 ✺
    10.08.2025 Moreirense - Alverca 2:1 ✺
    16.07.2025 Alverca - Amora 2:0
    16.05.2025 Alverca - Portimonense 2:1 ✺
    11.05.2025 Tondela - Alverca 1:2 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

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