Result
02/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Moreirense
38.3% | Draw
29.1% | Estrela da Amadora
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)The ML Model estimate for Moreirense aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for Estrela da Amadora aligns with the current prediction.
Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.31) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
2.9 ↓
(3.1) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estrela da Amadora?
Moreirense has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Moreirense?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
20.12.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
0:0
02.03.2025
Moreirense
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
28.09.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
2:1
07.04.2024
Moreirense
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:2
11.11.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
0:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
