Result
0:2
02/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 26
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Covilhã
26.5% | Draw
28.4% | Estrela da Amadora
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(3.23) |
3.23 ↓
(3.27) |
2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Estrela will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Recent matches Covilhã is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Estrela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Estrela will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Estrela da Amadora?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Covilhã?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
15.10.2022
Estrela da Amadora
-
Covilhã
2:1
Latest results of Covilhã
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
