Vilafranquense vs Estrela da Amadora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora
Result
0:1
17/04/2023 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 28
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vilafranquense
28.9%
Draw
29.1%
Estrela da Amadora
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.8% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 29.3% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilafranquense's form might have worsened.
  • Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilafranquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrela da Amadora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.6)
    3.14
    (3.25)
    2.2
    (2.65)
    8.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 21.5%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation: )).
    • Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estrela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    31.10.2022 Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense 1:1
    Latest results of Vilafranquense
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3