Result
1:1
19/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Penafiel
40.1% | Draw
30.5% | Vilafranquense
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Penafiel - Vilafranquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.09) |
3 ↓
(3.13) |
3.12 ↓
(3.31) |
8.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Vilafranquense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilafranquense: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Vilafranquense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilafranquense won against Penafiel?
Vilafranquense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Vilafranquense were as follows:
08.10.2022
Vilafranquense
-
Penafiel
0:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
