Estudiantes de Mérida vs Portuguesa Acarígua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Venezuela Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua
Result
2:2
29/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Venezuela - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Alderete E. ,
  • 45', Vera L. 🟨,
  • 45', Bullones Y. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Rojas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', Lopez A. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Hernandez J. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Zuniga K. ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Gomez D. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
59.8%
Draw
23.3%
Portuguesa Acarígua
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 27.4% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Mérida's performance.
  • Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa Acarígua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-21%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa Acarígua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.42)
    4.3
    (3.24)
    5.93
    (2.69)
    -0.1%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida 4:2
    12.10.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua 2:0
    13.04.2024 Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:2
    16.07.2023 Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
    Latest results of Portuguesa Acarígua
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1FronteraLa Guaira0 : 1
    2CaracasMetropolitanos2 : 0
    3BarquisimetoUniversidad Central0 : 1
    4MaritimoAnzoategui FC0 : 0
    5Dynamo PuertoCarabobo0 : 1
    6Estudiantes MeridaPortuguesa2 : 2
    7Rayo ZulianoDep. Tachira0 : 2
    8MonagasPuerto Cabello2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2