Estudiantes La Plata vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.81
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Long passes
49% (19/39)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
71% (82/115)57% (45/79)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.14
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1311
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.810.93
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ,
  • 35', Mater F. , Bruera F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Candia J. ,
  • 49', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 53', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 63', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 64', Gomez R. , Meza E. ,
  • 64', Castro A. , Farias F. ,
  • 64', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Tapia I. , Rak Y. ,
  • 85', Tobio F. 🟨,
  • 89', Medina C. , Alario L. ,
  • 90+4', Barrios R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Miloc D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Candia J. , Capraro N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.5%
Draw
26.5%
Barracas Central
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 29.5% 19.5%

Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.82)
3.53
(3.35)
6.23
(4.55)
5.9%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central?
  • Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.08%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barracas Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Insua R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    25.10.2024 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    20.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 3:0
    02.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 5:2
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba2 : 0
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs0 : 2
    3Racing ClubRiver Plate3 : 2
    4LanusTigre0 : 1
    5Central CordobaSan Lorenzo2 : 1
    6Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1
    7Dep. RiestraBarracas Central0 : 1
    8Union de Santa FeGimnasia L.P.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca JuniorsArgentinos Jrs
    2Racing ClubTigre
    3Central CordobaEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1
    4Barracas CentralGimnasia L.P.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Estudiantes L.P.TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2