Estudiantes La Plata vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.81
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Long passes
49% (19/39)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
71% (82/115)57% (45/79)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.14
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1311
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.810.93
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ,
  • 35', Mater F. , Bruera F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Candia J. ,
  • 49', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 53', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 63', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 64', Gomez R. , Meza E. ,
  • 64', Castro A. , Farias F. ,
  • 64', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Tapia I. , Rak Y. ,
  • 85', Tobio F. 🟨,
  • 89', Medina C. , Alario L. ,
  • 90+4', Barrios R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Miloc D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Candia J. , Capraro N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.5%
Draw
26.5%
Barracas Central
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 29.5% 19.5%

Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.82)
3.53
(3.35)
6.23
(4.55)
5.9%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.08%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 27 - 96.4%). Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barracas Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Insua R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    25.10.2024 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    20.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 3:0
    02.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 5:2
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus32107:527
    2Velez Sarsfield32104:227
    3Platense32104:227
    4Boca Juniors32014:226
    5San Lorenzo32014:316
    6Estudiantes L.P31203:215
    7Defensa y Justicia31201:015
    8Union de Santa Fe31115:234
    9Independiente30303:303
    10Talleres Cordoba31024:5-13
    11Gimnasia Mendoza31021:5-43
    12Instituto30123:5-21
    13Dep. Riestra30121:3-21
    14Central Cordoba30120:2-21
    15Newells Old Boys30122:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33006:339
    2Tigre32106:247
    3River Plate32103:037
    4Gimnasia L.P32015:416
    5Belgrano31203:215
    6Argentinos Jrs31201:015
    7Rosario Central31113:304
    8Banfield31113:304
    9Sarmiento Junin31022:3-13
    10Huracan30213:4-12
    11Atl. Tucuman30212:3-12
    12Barracas Central30211:2-12
    13Aldosivi30211:3-22
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto30121:4-31
    15Racing Club30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)