Estudiantes La Plata vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.71
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
84% (348/415)	69% (172/249)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	0.81
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
19	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
84% (348/415)	69% (172/249)
Long passes
49% (19/39)	43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
71% (82/115)	57% (45/79)
Crosses
35% (7/20)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.66	0.14
Throw-ins
15	19
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
62% (8/13)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
36	44
Clearances
24	15
Interceptions
11	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.81	0.93
Goals prevented
-0.19	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ⚽,
35', Mater F. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Candia J. ⚽,
49', Medina C. 🟨,
53', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
63', Candia J. 🟨,
64', Gomez R. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
64', Castro A. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
64', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
80', Tapia I. ↓, Rak Y. ↑,
85', Tobio F. 🟨,
89', Medina C. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
90+4', Barrios R. 🟨,
90+4', Miloc D. 🟨,
90+4', Cetre E. 🟨,
90+4', Candia J. ↓, Capraro N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Estudiantes La Plata
58.5%

Draw
26.5%

Barracas Central
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

29.5%

19.5%

Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	6.23 ↑ (4.55)	5.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central?

Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.08% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barracas Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Barracas Central: Insua R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Barracas Central?

Estudiantes La Plata has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Estudiantes La Plata?

Barracas Central has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central were as follows:

27.03.2025 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1

25.10.2024 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1

20.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 3:0

02.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 5:2

Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata

30.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo 1:1 ✺

22.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0 ✺

18.09.2025 Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Barracas Central

29.09.2025 Barracas Central - Belgrano 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Godoy Cruz - Barracas Central 0:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Newells Old Boys - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union de Santa Fe	14	6	5	3	20:13	7	23
2	Central Cordoba	13	5	6	2	16:10	6	21
3	Barracas Central	14	5	6	3	18:16	2	21
4	Estudiantes L.P	13	6	3	4	15:13	2	21
5	Boca Juniors	13	5	5	3	22:11	11	20
6	Defensa y Justicia	13	5	4	4	13:13	0	19
7	Argentinos Jrs	14	5	3	6	15:12	3	18
8	Belgrano	13	4	6	3	13:10	3	18
9	Tigre	13	4	6	3	13:11	2	18
10	Racing Club	13	5	3	5	14:13	1	18
11	Banfield	13	5	2	6	12:18	-6	17
12	Huracan	13	4	4	5	6:11	-5	16
13	Ind. Rivadavia	14	2	6	6	12:17	-5	12
14	Aldosivi	14	3	3	8	8:16	-8	12
15	Newells Old Boys	14	2	5	7	11:22	-11	11

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rosario Central	14	8	6	0	18:7	11	30
2	Dep. Riestra	14	8	3	3	18:10	8	27
3	Lanus	13	8	2	3	15:9	6	26
4	Velez Sarsfield	14	7	4	3	19:10	9	25
5	San Lorenzo	14	6	4	4	12:10	2	22
6	River Plate	13	6	3	4	20:12	8	21
7	San Martin S.J	13	4	5	4	10:11	-1	17
8	Talleres Cordoba	14	4	5	5	8:12	-4	17
9	Atl. Tucuman	14	4	3	7	14:18	-4	15
10	Sarmiento Junin	13	4	3	6	9:14	-5	15
11	Instituto	14	3	6	5	8:15	-7	15
12	Gimnasia L.P	13	4	1	8	8:16	-8	13
13	Independiente	14	2	6	6	12:13	-1	12
14	Platense	13	2	5	6	11:20	-9	11
15	Godoy Cruz	13	1	7	5	9:16	-7	10

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)