Estudiantes La Plata vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.81
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (348/415)69% (172/249)
Long passes
49% (19/39)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
71% (82/115)57% (45/79)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.14
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1311
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.810.93
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ,
  • 35', Mater F. , Bruera F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Candia J. ,
  • 49', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 53', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 63', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 64', Gomez R. , Meza E. ,
  • 64', Castro A. , Farias F. ,
  • 64', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 80', Tapia I. , Rak Y. ,
  • 85', Tobio F. 🟨,
  • 89', Medina C. , Alario L. ,
  • 90+4', Barrios R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Miloc D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Candia J. , Capraro N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
58.5%
Draw
26.5%
Barracas Central
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 29.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.
  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.82)
    3.53
    (3.35)
    6.23
    (4.55)
    5.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.08%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 27 - 96.4%). Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barracas Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Insua R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    25.10.2024 Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1
    20.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 3:0
    02.06.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central 5:2
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4Union de Santa Fe73229:4511
    5San Lorenzo73227:5211
    6Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    7Independiente72419:7210
    8Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia751111:7416
    2Belgrano74309:4515
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5River Plate73137:7010
    6Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    7Huracan72325:6-19
    8Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    9Racing Club72238:9-18
    10Barracas Central72235:6-18
    11Banfield72147:9-27
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi60332:6-43

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)