Result
1:1
29/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 7 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Paramount+, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 7 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN 7 |
 Greece | ERT Sports 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 7 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 7 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (323/369) | 83% (302/364) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (323/369) | 83% (302/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 35% (13/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (77/102) | 72% (39/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 21', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
- 38', Farias F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, Carrillo G. ⚽,
- 62', Medina A. 🟥,
- 62', Jardim L. 🟥,
- 62', Emerson Royal 🟨,
- 62', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 70', Luiz Araujo ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 74', Farias F. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Neves 🟨,
- 81', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 81', Samuel Lino ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 85', Piovi L. 🟨,
- 86', Gabriel Neves ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 86', Carrillo G. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 87', Palacios T. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
26.7% | Draw
31.8% | Flamengo
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.12) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
2.28 ↓
(2.46) |
5.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Flamengo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Flamengo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Lucas Paqueta
(Muscle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Flamengo?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Flamengo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo were as follows:
25.09.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Flamengo
1:1
18.09.2025
Flamengo
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:1
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Flamengo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
