Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/415) | 69% (172/249) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/415) | 69% (172/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (82/115) | 57% (45/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ⚽,
- 35', Mater F. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Candia J. ⚽,
- 49', Medina C. 🟨,
- 53', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 63', Candia J. 🟨,
- 64', Gomez R. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
- 64', Castro A. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 64', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 80', Tapia I. ↓, Rak Y. ↑,
- 85', Tobio F. 🟨,
- 89', Medina C. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
- 90+4', Barrios R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Miloc D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cetre E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Candia J. ↓, Capraro N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
58.5% | Draw
26.5% | Barracas Central
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.82) |
3.53 ↑
(3.35) |
6.23 ↑
(4.55) |
5.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes La Plata will win
(36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.08% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 27 - 96.4%). Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 3.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
- Estudiantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barracas Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Gonzalez Pirez L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Barracas Central: Insua R.
(Inactive)
Lopez L.
(Ankle Injury)
Pianovi F.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Barracas Central?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Barracas Central has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central were as follows:
27.03.2025
Barracas Central
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:1
25.10.2024
Barracas Central
-
Estudiantes La Plata
1:1
20.04.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Barracas Central
3:0
02.06.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Barracas Central
5:2
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
