Racing vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2 penalties
13/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainMovistar+ Vamos Bar 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.85
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
80% (402/502)77% (318/414)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.80
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
80% (402/502)77% (318/414)
Long passes
45% (43/96)52% (43/82)
Passes in final third
60% (79/131)53% (62/118)
Crosses
21% (5/24)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.33
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1013
Tackles
38% (5/13)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4959
Clearances
4035
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.801.33
Goals prevented
-0.200.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Gomez R. 🟨,
  • 37', Carrillo G. 🟨,
  • 42', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 70', Colombo N. 🟨,
  • 74', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
  • 75', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
  • 76', Almendra A. E. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽,
  • 83', Gomez R. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
  • 83', Piovi L. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
  • 87', Vergara D. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
  • 87', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
  • 89', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
  • 89', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Carrillo G. ⚽, Sosa J. (A),
  • 90+5', Pardo F. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 96', Nunez S. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
  • 101', Nardoni J. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
  • 119', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 119', Conechny T. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Sosa J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Adrian Martinez (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Cetre E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Vietto L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Alario L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Garcia A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Burgos J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Martirena Torres G. N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Meza E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Sosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Rodriguez F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Pardo F. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
30.4%		Draw
36.3%		Estudiantes La Plata
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 31.1% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 30.1% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Racing - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.11 ↑
    (2.29)    		 2.59 ↓
    (3.03)    		 2.85 ↓
    (3.4)    		 5.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Racing - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Estudiantes (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Estudiantes (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Estudiantes (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
    • Racing has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Estudiantes has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Racing: Rodriguez I. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury) Vietto L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Gabriel Neves (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Solari S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Racing - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1
    03.02.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Racing 2:0
    04.12.2024 Racing - Estudiantes La Plata 4:5
    05.02.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Racing 0:0
    03.09.2023 Racing - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    Latest results of Racing
    07.12.2025 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:1 ✺
    01.12.2025 Racing - Tigre 1:0 ✺
    24.11.2025 Racing - River Plate 3:2 ✺
    16.11.2025 Newells Old Boys - Racing 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    08.12.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Central Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Argentinos Juniors 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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