Ethan Quinn vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
67%61%
1st serve points won
79% (27/34)64% (18/28)
2nd serve points won
47% (8/17)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
0/03/7
1st return points won
36% (10/28)21% (7/34)
2nd return points won
67% (12/18)53% (9/17)
Break Points Converted
4/70/0
Winners
257
Unforced errors
1920
Net points won
100% (6/6)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
69% (35/51)51% (23/45)
Return Points Won
49% (22/45)31% (16/51)
Total Points Won
59% (57/96)41% (39/96)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Ethan Quinn
38.2%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethan Quinn's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethan Quinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.06)

    1.52
    (1.65)
    6.3%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Quinn is ranked ATP: 54. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 101.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Ethan Quinn
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Quinn E. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    2Maestrelli F.Merida Aguilar D. (11)0 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M. (2)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Bonzi B. (12)2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 1
    6Martinez P.Carreno-Busta P. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    7Ofner S. (4)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gea A. (Alt)Kypson P. (10)0 : 2
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    10Arnaldi M.Halys Q. (8)1 : 2
    11Vukic A. (6)Virtanen O.1 : 2
    12Alcala Gurri M. (WC)Muller A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Quinn E. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (11)2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M. (2)De Jong J.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (3)Martinez P.1 : 2
    4Ofner S. (4)Kypson P. (10)2 : 0
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Halys Q. (8)2 : 1
    6Virtanen O.Muller A. (7)2 : 0