Ethan Quinn vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
67%61%
1st serve points won
79% (27/34)64% (18/28)
2nd serve points won
47% (8/17)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
0/03/7
1st return points won
36% (10/28)21% (7/34)
2nd return points won
67% (12/18)53% (9/17)
Break Points Converted
4/70/0
Winners
257
Unforced errors
1920
Net points won
100% (6/6)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
69% (35/51)51% (23/45)
Return Points Won
49% (22/45)31% (16/51)
Total Points Won
59% (57/96)41% (39/96)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Ethan Quinn
38.2%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethan Quinn's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethan Quinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.06)

    1.52
    (1.65)
    6.3%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Quinn is ranked ATP: 54. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 101.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Ethan Quinn
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2