Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mukura Victory Sports
54.5% | Draw
27.7% | Etincelles
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mukura Victory Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mukura Victory Sports than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mukura Victory Sports, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Mukura Victory Sports - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.61) |
3.25 ↓
(3.27) |
5.07 ↓
(5.58) |
11%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mukura won 1.
- Mukura is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Etincelles is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Etincelles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mukura is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Mukura will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mukura won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mukura won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mukura Victory Sports won against Etincelles?
Mukura Victory Sports has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Mukura Victory Sports?
Etincelles has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mukura Victory Sports - Etincelles were as follows:
28.11.2025
Etincelles
-
Mukura Victory Sports
1:1
15.02.2025
Etincelles
-
Mukura Victory Sports
2:0
24.08.2024
Mukura Victory Sports
-
Etincelles
0:0
08.03.2024
Etincelles
-
Mukura Victory Sports
3:1
28.10.2023
Mukura Victory Sports
-
Etincelles
1:0
Latest results of Mukura Victory Sports
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
