Étoile Carouge vs Basel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Cup Étoile Carouge - Basel
Result
2:3 penalties
19/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Swiss Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Essiena Avang L. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Essiena Avang L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ajeti Al. , Broschinski M. ,
  • 60', Zrankeon G. 🟨,
  • 61', Leroy L. , Shaqiri X. ,
  • 61', Cisse M. , Schmid D. ,
  • 64', Shaqiri X. (Pen),
  • 68', El Jaouhari M. 🟨,
  • 74', Salah I. , Agbonifo J. ,
  • 75', Essiena Avang L. 🟨,
  • 84', El Jaouhari M. , Bua K. ,
  • 84', Escorza T. , Felder V. ,
  • 88', Antonio S. 🟨,
  • 89', Ricardo Alves , Hysenaj F. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Agbonifo J. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 98', Rufli V. , Boulkous N. ,
  • 98', Itaitinga , Traore B. ,
  • 101', 1 - 2, ,
  • 107', 🟨,
  • 118', 2 - 2, ,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Étoile Carouge
11.5%
Draw
18.1%
Basel
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 18.6% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4% 17.8% 71.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Étoile Carouge - Basel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.98
    (7.04)
    5.18
    (4.9)
    1.33
    (1.33)
    7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Basel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Étoile has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Basel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Basel is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Basel were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Étoile Carouge - Basel 1:3
    Latest results of Étoile Carouge
    Latest results of Basel
    13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3
    30.08.2025 Sion - Basel 0:1
    27.08.2025 Copenhagen - Basel 2:0
    20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1
    16.08.2025 Biel-Bienne - Basel 1:6
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1MorbioGossau2 : 1
    2VolketswilRapperswil-Jona0 : 8
    3KriensWil2 : 3
    4WalenstadtSt. Gallen0 : 13
    5WohlenAarau1 : 3
    6CourtetelleYoung Boys1 : 4
    7LommiswilPrishtina Bern1 : 4
    8Ajoie-MonterriSion0 : 2
    9ZugMendrisio1 : 0
    10BreitenrainThun1 : 0
    11BreitenbachBosna Neuchatel0 : 5
    12Perlen-BuchrainLuzern0 : 3
    13CS Le LocleSaxon-Sports2 : 1
    14Sarraz-EclepensGrand-Saconnex1 : 4
    15BernexEtoile-Carouge0 : 3
    16BielBasel1 : 6
    17RomanshornAltstatten2 : 4
    18ChamLugano3 : 2
    19NebikonBellinzona0 : 4
    20Lachen/AltendorfGrasshoppers0 : 2
    21La Tour Le PaquierStade Nyonnais0 : 4
    22Wettswil-BonstettenZurich0 : 2
    23UnterstrassKlingnau5 : 4
    24DiasporaXamax2 : 3
    25VernierEchallens0 : 1
    26Veyrier-SportsLausanne Ouchy0 : 2
    27HarkingenSchaffhausen2 : 3
    28SV SchaffhausenWinterthur0 : 5
    29PayerneYverdon1 : 3
    30Dardania LausanneServette0 : 5
    31Azzurri BienneConcordia0 : 8
    32VeveyLausanne1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1MorbioRapperswil-Jona0 : 4
    2WilSt. Gallen1 : 2
    3AarauYoung Boys1 : 0
    4Prishtina BernSion0 : 2
    5ZugBreitenrain1 : 0
    6Bosna NeuchatelLuzern0 : 6
    7CS Le LocleGrand-Saconnex3 : 4
    8Etoile-CarougeBasel2 : 3
    9AltstattenCham0 : 3
    10BellinzonaGrasshoppers0 : 1
    11Stade NyonnaisZurich2 : 1
    12UnterstrassXamax0 : 5
    13EchallensLausanne Ouchy0 : 1
    14SchaffhausenWinterthur0 : 4
    15YverdonServette1 : 0
    16ConcordiaLausanne1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Rapperswil-JonaSt. Gallen
    2AarauSion
    3ZugLuzern
    4Grand-SaconnexBasel
    5ChamGrasshoppers
    6Stade NyonnaisXamax
    7Lausanne OuchyWinterthur
    8YverdonLausanne