Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 34
- Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/370) | 83% (351/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/370) | 83% (351/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 72% (81/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Zague Y. ⚽, Caliskan B. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Bustin J. ⚽, Wasinski M. (A),
- 31', Bares G. ↓, Busquets O. ↑,
- 41', Lefebvre A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gedikli E. ↓, N'jo E. ↑,
- 46', Kasper D. ↓, Atteri Z. ↑,
- 46', Reynaerts S. ↓, D'Ostilio J. ↑,
- 64', Caliskan B. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
- 73', Plastun I. ↓, Kennedy S. ↑,
- 75', Lefebvre A. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, D'Ostilio J. ⚽, Bruggeman B. (A),
- 81', Bruggeman B. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
- 89', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Corneillie V. ↑,
- 90+3', Keita A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
38.1% | Draw
26.8% | Eupen
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
RFC Liège - Eupen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.19) |
3.49 ↑
(3.48) |
2.65 ↓
(2.96) |
7.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Eupen?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Eupen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFC Liège: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 7)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Eupen?
RFC Liège has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against RFC Liège?
Eupen has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Eupen were as follows:
09.08.2025
Eupen
-
RFC Liège
2:0
21.12.2024
Eupen
-
RFC Liège
0:1
18.08.2024
RFC Liège
-
Eupen
0:3
24.06.2023
Eupen
-
RFC Liège
0:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
