Excelsior vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.72
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
79% (357/452)79% (354/450)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.00
Total shots
134
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
79% (357/452)79% (354/450)
Long passes
45% (37/82)56% (48/85)
Passes in final third
66% (73/111)60% (58/97)
Crosses
50% (6/12)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.40
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1614
Tackles
68% (17/25)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.44
Goals prevented
0.00-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 28', Blomme X. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Bergraaf J. , Duijvestijn L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bakir A. , Evina F. ,
  • 46', Hawkins J. , Quispel F. ,
  • 46', Hammouti F. , Soares J. ,
  • 61', Donkor J. , Fini S. ,
  • 61', Bergraaf J. , Naujoks N. ,
  • 61', Blomme X. , Hatenboer C. ,
  • 68', Soares J. 🟨,
  • 72', Evina F. , Eduardo Y. ,
  • 77', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
  • 80', Martin M. , Hekkert J. ,
  • 82', Bronkhorst I. , Martens N. ,
  • 82', Sanches Fernandes D. , Booth Z. ,
  • 82', Duijvestijn L. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 86', Tielemans M. , Eijgenraam J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
62.9%
Draw
20.7%
Emmen
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 19% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Excelsior - Emmen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.47)
    4.55
    (4.69)
    5.65
    (5.86)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Emmen?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 2.
    • Excelsior in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Emmen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Excelsior to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Emmen were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Emmen - Excelsior 1:1
    11.03.2023 Emmen - Excelsior 2:0
    10.09.2022 Excelsior - Emmen 2:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    20.04.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:4
    11.04.2025 Excelsior - FC Oss 2:0
    04.04.2025 MVV Maastricht - Excelsior 1:2
    28.03.2025 Excelsior - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    14.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Excelsior 1:2
    Latest results of Emmen
    18.04.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    11.04.2025 Roda - Emmen 1:0
    04.04.2025 Emmen - Cambuur 3:0
    28.03.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:2
    14.03.2025 Emmen - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie