Excelsior vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.72
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
79% (357/452)79% (354/450)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.00
Total shots
134
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
79% (357/452)79% (354/450)
Long passes
45% (37/82)56% (48/85)
Passes in final third
66% (73/111)60% (58/97)
Crosses
50% (6/12)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.40
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1614
Tackles
68% (17/25)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.44
Goals prevented
0.00-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 28', Blomme X. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Bergraaf J. , Duijvestijn L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bakir A. , Evina F. ,
  • 46', Hawkins J. , Quispel F. ,
  • 46', Hammouti F. , Soares J. ,
  • 61', Donkor J. , Fini S. ,
  • 61', Bergraaf J. , Naujoks N. ,
  • 61', Blomme X. , Hatenboer C. ,
  • 68', Soares J. 🟨,
  • 72', Evina F. , Eduardo Y. ,
  • 77', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
  • 80', Martin M. , Hekkert J. ,
  • 82', Bronkhorst I. , Martens N. ,
  • 82', Sanches Fernandes D. , Booth Z. ,
  • 82', Duijvestijn L. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 86', Tielemans M. , Eijgenraam J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
62.9%
Draw
20.7%
Emmen
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 19% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Excelsior - Emmen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.47)
    4.55
    (4.69)
    5.65
    (5.86)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Emmen?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 2.
    • Excelsior in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Emmen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Excelsior to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Emmen were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Emmen - Excelsior 1:1
    11.03.2023 Emmen - Excelsior 2:0
    10.09.2022 Excelsior - Emmen 2:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    20.04.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:4
    11.04.2025 Excelsior - FC Oss 2:0
    04.04.2025 MVV Maastricht - Excelsior 1:2
    28.03.2025 Excelsior - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    14.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Excelsior 1:2
    Latest results of Emmen
    18.04.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    11.04.2025 Roda - Emmen 1:0
    04.04.2025 Emmen - Cambuur 3:0
    28.03.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:2
    14.03.2025 Emmen - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie