Result
0:2
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 15
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 3.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (330/420) | 83% (414/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 3.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (330/420) | 83% (414/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 49% (35/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (61/94) | 69% (94/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Blokzijl T. 🟨,
- 45+3', Meissen R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Hartjes L. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
- 46', Meissen R. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
- 58', Rente M. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽,
- 70', Middendorp S. 🟥,
- 72', Willumsson B. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
- 72', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 76', Zagre A. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 81', Bergraaf J. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 81', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 85', Yoon D. 🟨,
- 88', Taha Y. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
- 88', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 89', Rente M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Resink S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Schreuders J. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
26.3% | Draw
26.8% | Groningen
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Excelsior - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(2.78) |
3.54 ↑
(3.38) |
2.03 ↓
(2.46) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Groningen will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 31% – 73.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
- In recent matches, Excelsior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Groningen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Groningen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Nadje C.
(Inactive)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Groningen: Hernes T.
(Inactive)
van der Laan E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Groningen?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Excelsior?
Groningen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Groningen were as follows:
16.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Groningen
0:2
25.02.2023
Groningen
-
Excelsior
3:0
08.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Groningen
1:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 52:21 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32:22 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 43:29 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Groningen | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 23 |
| 11 | Sittard | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26:29 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 15 | Telstar | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Heracles | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | NAC Breda | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
