Excelsior vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Woudestein (Rotterdam).

Eredivisie - Round 15
Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	3.92
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
16	20
Shots on target
6	8
Big Chances
5	6
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
79% (330/420)	83% (414/499)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	3.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	2.50
Total shots
16	20
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
14	12
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
5	6
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
25	32
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
79% (330/420)	83% (414/499)
Long passes
54% (49/91)	49% (35/72)
Passes in final third
65% (61/94)	69% (94/136)
Crosses
46% (6/13)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.36	0.87
Throw-ins
11	20
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
69% (11/16)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
57	43
Clearances
25	15
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
2.50	0.66
Goals prevented
0.50	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Blokzijl T. 🟨,
45+3', Meissen R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hartjes L. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
46', Meissen R. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
58', Rente M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽,
70', Middendorp S. 🟥,
72', Willumsson B. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
72', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
76', Zagre A. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
81', Bergraaf J. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
81', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
85', Yoon D. 🟨,
88', Taha Y. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
88', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
89', Rente M. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Resink S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Schreuders J. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Excelsior
26.3%

Draw
26.8%

Groningen
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.2%

40%

Excelsior - Groningen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (2.78)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	2.03 ↓ (2.46)	5.2% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Excelsior - Groningen?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Groningen will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 31% – 73.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1 - Excelsior (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 50%). Groningen (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
In recent matches, Excelsior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Groningen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Groningen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Excelsior: Nadje C. (Inactive) Tielemans M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Groningen: Hernes T. (Inactive) van der Laan E. (Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Groningen?

Excelsior has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Excelsior?

Groningen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Groningen were as follows:

16.01.2024 Excelsior - Groningen 0:2

25.02.2023 Groningen - Excelsior 3:0

08.01.2023 Excelsior - Groningen 1:0

Latest results of Excelsior

29.11.2025 Excelsior - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Excelsior - Heracles Almelo 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 2:2 ✺

29.10.2025 Excelsior Maassluis - Excelsior 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Groningen

02.12.2025 Ajax - Groningen 2:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2 ✺

09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1 ✺

30.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 5:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	22	19	2	1	66:26	40	59
2	Feyenoord	22	13	3	6	52:32	20	42
3	Nijmegen	21	12	5	4	56:35	21	41
4	Ajax	22	10	9	3	42:29	13	39
5	Sparta Rotterdam	22	11	3	8	29:36	-7	36
6	Twente	22	8	10	4	36:24	12	34
7	AZ Alkmaar	22	9	6	7	37:36	1	33
8	Groningen	22	9	4	9	29:28	1	31
9	Sittard	22	7	5	10	33:38	-5	26
10	Excelsior	22	7	5	10	24:37	-13	26
11	Zwolle	22	7	5	10	31:45	-14	26
12	Heerenveen	21	6	7	8	32:36	-4	25
13	Utrecht	21	6	6	9	30:28	2	24
14	G.A. Eagles	21	4	11	6	32:35	-3	23
15	FC Volendam	22	5	6	11	24:37	-13	21
16	Telstar	22	3	8	11	26:38	-12	17
17	Heracles	22	5	2	15	31:57	-26	17
18	NAC Breda	22	3	7	12	23:36	-13	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie