Excelsior vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch KNVB Beker Excelsior - Groningen
Result
0:2
16/01/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN

Chances of winning


Excelsior
32%
Draw
26.5%
Groningen
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 24.7% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.
  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Excelsior - Groningen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (1.9)
    3.54
    (3.73)
    2.26
    (3.35)
    6.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Excelsior - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Groningen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Groningen were as follows:
    25.02.2023 Groningen - Excelsior 3:0
    08.01.2023 Excelsior - Groningen 1:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 3:1
    07.01.2024 Excelsior - St. Pauli Canceled
    19.12.2023 Spakenburg - Excelsior 2:3
    08.12.2023 Twente - Excelsior 4:2
    Latest results of Groningen
    06.01.2024 Bochum - Groningen 2:1
    22.12.2023 Groningen - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    19.12.2023 Willem II - Groningen 1:3
    15.12.2023 MVV Maastricht - Groningen 1:1
    08.12.2023 Groningen - Telstar 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    2AWCASWH0 : 2
    3De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    4HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    5HFCBye
    6UNAARC1 : 2
    7ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    8TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    9LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    10VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    11AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    12ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    13De TreffersBye
    14ByeRKAV Volendam
    15ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    16ByeGVVV
    17TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    18SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    19RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    20SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    21Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    22't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    23VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    24ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    25EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    26EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    27Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    28KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    29Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    30ByeBarendrecht
    31USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    32ByeSpakenburg
    33HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    34Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    35WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    36ByeHardenberg
    37HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    38IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    39SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    40GemertHuizen2 : 1

    1/64-finals
    1HalsterenASWH
    2VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen
    3HFCARC
    4VV DOVOTEC
    5LisseUrk
    6HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis
    7De TreffersRKAV Volendam
    8RoosendaalGVVV
    9UDI'19Sportlust
    10RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo
    11HSC '21't Zand
    12CapelleScheveningen
    13EemdijkExcelsior 31
    14Sparta NijkerkKloetinge
    15Kozakken BoysBarendrecht
    16USV HerculesSpakenburg
    17HoekBlauw Geel
    18NoordwijkHardenberg
    19Groene SterGenemuiden
    20MeerssenGemert