Excelsior vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam).

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/8-FINALS
Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN

Chances of winning

Excelsior
32%

Draw
26.5%

Groningen
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Excelsior - Groningen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.54 ↓ (3.73)	2.26 ↓ (3.35)	6.8% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Excelsior - Groningen?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Groningen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Groningen?

Excelsior has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Excelsior?

Groningen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Groningen were as follows:

25.02.2023 Groningen - Excelsior 3:0

08.01.2023 Excelsior - Groningen 1:0

Latest results of Excelsior

13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 3:1 ✺

07.01.2024 Excelsior - St. Pauli Canceled ✺

19.12.2023 Spakenburg - Excelsior 2:3 ✺

16.12.2023 Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 ✺

08.12.2023 Twente - Excelsior 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Groningen

06.01.2024 Bochum - Groningen 2:1 ✺

22.12.2023 Groningen - Jong Utrecht 2:1 ✺

19.12.2023 Willem II - Groningen 1:3 ✺

15.12.2023 MVV Maastricht - Groningen 1:1 ✺

08.12.2023 Groningen - Telstar 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/128-finals

1	NAC Breda	Bye
4	Bye	Heracles
5	Quick Boys	Bye
8	Bye	FC Volendam
9	Sparta Rotterdam	Bye
12	Bye	Groningen
13	SV Juliana	Meerssen	0 : 2
14	Gemert	Huizen	2 : 1
16	Bye	Sittard
17	Venlo	Bye
20	Bye	Heerenveen
21	Rijnsburgse Boys	Bye
24	Bye	Nijmegen
25	VVSB	Capelle	1 : 2
26	Scheveningen	Staphorst	2 : 0
28	Bye	Roda
29	Hoek	Rijnvogels	6 : 4
30	Blauw Geel	VVOG	2 : 1
32	Bye	Eindhoven FC
33	Katwijk	Bye
36	Bye	Vitesse
37	Heino	Groene Ster	3 : 4
38	IJsselmeervogels	Genemuiden	0 : 1
39	Halsteren	ACV Assen	3 : 1
40	AWC	ASWH	0 : 2
41	Harkemase Boys	Sparta Nijkerk	0 : 1
42	Kloetinge	DVO	3 : 0
44	Bye	Almere City
45	ADO 20 Heemskerk	Roosendaal	0 : 2
46	Bye	GVVV
48	Bye	De Graafschap
49	USV Hercules	GOES	4 : 0
50	Bye	Spakenburg
51	Erp	VV DOVO	0 : 4
52	TEC	SV Poortugaal	3 : 2
53	Den Bosch	Bye
56	Bye	Den Haag
57	Aalsmeer	HZVV Hoogeveen	2 : 4
58	Bye	Excelsior Maassluis
60	Bye	Excelsior
61	Raalte	HVV Hollandia	4 : 1
62	SteDoCo	DVS '33 Ermelo	0 : 2
64	Bye	Twente
65	Eemdijk	Dongen	4 : 0
66	Emmen	Excelsior 31	2 : 5
68	Bye	AFC
69	Walcheren	Noordwijk	1 : 3
70	Bye	Hardenberg
72	Bye	Oss
73	De Treffers	Bye
74	Bye	RKAV Volendam
76	Bye	Maastricht
77	Willem II	Bye
80	Bye	Dordrecht
81	De Foresters	VV Scherpenzeel	2 : 3
82	Hoogeveen	Velocitas	6 : 1
84	Bye	FC Emmen
85	Olde Veste	HSC '21	0 : 3
86	't Zand	Mierlo-Hout	4 : 2
87	HFC	Bye
88	UNA	ARC	1 : 2
89	TOGB	UDI'19	1 : 3
90	Sportlust	Sportclub 25	4 : 1
91	Kozakken Boys	Kampong	4 : 0
92	Bye	Barendrecht
93	Waalwijk	Bye
96	Bye	Cambuur
97	Lisse	Westlandia	1 : 0
98	VV Zwaluwen	Urk	1 : 2
100	Bye	Telstar
101	Helmond	Bye
104	Bye	Zwolle

1/64-finals

1	NAC Breda	Bye
2	Bye	Heracles
3	Quick Boys	Bye
4	Bye	FC Volendam
5	Sparta Rotterdam	Bye
6	Bye	Groningen
7	Meerssen	Gemert	0 : 1
8	Bye	Sittard
9	Venlo	Bye
10	Bye	Heerenveen
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	Bye
12	Bye	Nijmegen
13	Capelle	Scheveningen	5 : 1
14	Bye	Roda
15	Hoek	Blauw Geel	1 : 0
16	Bye	Eindhoven FC
17	Katwijk	Bye
18	Bye	Vitesse
19	Groene Ster	Genemuiden	1 : 2
20	Halsteren	ASWH	3 : 2
21	Sparta Nijkerk	Kloetinge	4 : 3
22	Bye	Almere City
23	Roosendaal	GVVV	0 : 1
24	Bye	De Graafschap
25	USV Hercules	Spakenburg	1 : 3
26	VV DOVO	TEC	1 : 0
27	Den Bosch	Bye
28	Bye	Den Haag
29	HZVV Hoogeveen	Excelsior Maassluis	1 : 5
30	Bye	Excelsior
31	Raalte	DVS '33 Ermelo	1 : 0
32	Bye	Twente
33	Eemdijk	Excelsior 31	2 : 1
34	Bye	AFC
35	Noordwijk	Hardenberg	0 : 2
36	Bye	Oss
37	De Treffers	RKAV Volendam	6 : 3
38	Bye	Maastricht
39	Willem II	Bye
40	Bye	Dordrecht
41	VV Scherpenzeel	Hoogeveen	3 : 4
42	Bye	FC Emmen
43	HSC '21	't Zand	3 : 1
44	HFC	ARC	5 : 0
45	UDI'19	Sportlust	0 : 1
46	Kozakken Boys	Barendrecht	2 : 3
47	Waalwijk	Bye
48	Bye	Cambuur
49	Lisse	Urk	4 : 1
50	Bye	Telstar
51	Helmond	Bye
52	Bye	Zwolle

1/32-finals

1	NAC Breda	Heracles
2	Quick Boys	FC Volendam
3	Sparta Rotterdam	Groningen
4	Gemert	Sittard
5	Venlo	Heerenveen
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	Nijmegen
7	Capelle	Roda
8	Hoek	Eindhoven FC
9	Katwijk	Vitesse
10	Genemuiden	Halsteren
11	Sparta Nijkerk	Almere City
12	GVVV	De Graafschap
13	Spakenburg	VV DOVO
14	Den Bosch	Den Haag
15	Excelsior Maassluis	Excelsior
16	Raalte	Twente
17	Eemdijk	AFC
18	Hardenberg	Oss
19	De Treffers	Maastricht
20	Willem II	Dordrecht
21	Hoogeveen	FC Emmen
22	HSC '21	HFC
23	Sportlust	Barendrecht
24	Waalwijk	Cambuur
25	Lisse	Telstar
26	Helmond	Zwolle