VVV-Venlo vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie VVV-Venlo - Excelsior
Result
1:1
21/12/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 20
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1511
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
86
Corner Kicks
115
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Janssen R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Janssen R. , el Anbri Y. ,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Hartjes L. , Duijvestijn L. (A),
  • 65', Fini S. , Booth Z. ,
  • 66', Bronkhorst I. , Eijgenraam J. ,
  • 71', De Waal M. , Doumtsios K. ,
  • 77', Hatenboer C. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 81', Braem T. , Popperl P. ,
  • 81', Matoug N. , Doesburg P. ,
  • 81', Berden M. , Verheijen T. ,
  • 81', de Moes S. 🟨,
  • 86', de Moes S. , Seymor S. ,
  • 89', Popperl P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Wehmeyer L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
18.8%
Draw
22.1%
Excelsior
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 22.3% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 21.7% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for VVV-Venlo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • VVV-Venlo - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.96
    (5.01)
    4.23
    (4.23)
    1.58
    (1.6)
    7%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Excelsior will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Venlo won 1.
    • Venlo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Excelsior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Venlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury) Zagre A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:20 (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Excelsior were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Excelsior - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    16.09.2024 Excelsior - VVV-Venlo 4:0
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    13.12.2024 FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo 1:3
    06.12.2024 VVV-Venlo - FC Oss 0:0
    01.12.2024 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:1
    22.11.2024 VVV-Venlo - Emmen 0:2
    15.11.2024 Telstar - VVV-Venlo 4:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    17.12.2024 FC Eindhoven - Excelsior 1:3
    13.12.2024 Excelsior - Volendam 0:0
    08.12.2024 Emmen - Excelsior 1:1
    29.11.2024 Excelsior - Jong Ajax 2:0
    26.11.2024 Jong Utrecht - Excelsior 0:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1De Graafschap00000:000
    2Venlo00000:000
    3Cambuur00000:000
    4Den Bosch00000:000
    5Dordrecht00000:000
    6Eindhoven FC00000:000
    7FC Emmen00000:000
    8Helmond00000:000
    9Maastricht00000:000
    10Almere City00000:000
    11Oss00000:000
    12Waalwijk00000:000
    13Roda00000:000
    14Vitesse00000:000
    15Willem II00000:000
    16Den Haag00000:000
    17Jong PSV00000:000
    18Jong Ajax00000:000
    19Jong AZ00000:000
    20Jong Utrecht00000:000

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )