Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo
Result
3:1
06/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
78
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Total shots
105
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
78
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Zarate J. ,
  • 25', Ibarra L. 🟨,
  • 32', Sineiro C. 🟨,
  • 38', Ibarra L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Arellano L. , Meza A. ,
  • 53', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 65', Benitez B. , Zeineddin N. ,
  • 66', Arciero R. , Schiavulli T. ,
  • 66', Velazco N. , Damiolini N. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Schiavulli T. ,
  • 73', Arango M. 🟨,
  • 81', Vera I. , Pata L. ,
  • 81', Sosa F. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Cao R. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mendez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
60%
Draw
21.3%
Deportivo Merlo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 28.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 27.7% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.
  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.79)
    5.04
    (3.25)
    5.73
    (4.56)
    -6.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas 3:2
    14.09.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas 2:1
    26.04.2024 Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo 3:1
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Armenio1797121:111034
    2Midland1795319:81132
    3Real Pilar1787219:91031
    4Laferrere1777321:16528
    5Flandria1769214:7727
    6Sportivo Italiano1775519:15426
    7San Martin Burzaco1766523:17624
    8Comunicaciones1766517:18-124
    9Villa San Carlos1758420:17323
    10Sacachispas1858519:17223
    11Argentino de Merlo1865723:22123
    12Brown Adrogue1757518:18022
    13Villa Dalmine1764714:18-422
    14Excursionistas1763821:22-121
    15Acassuso1755721:24-320
    16Liniers1755718:23-520
    17Argentino de Quilmes1746721:25-418
    18UAI Urquiza173688:21-1315
    19Dep. Merlo1828814:22-814
    20Dock Sud172879:19-1014
    21Fenix1727813:23-1013

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