Result
3:1
06/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Zarate J. ⚽,
- 25', Ibarra L. 🟨,
- 32', Sineiro C. 🟨,
- 38', Ibarra L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Arellano L. ↓, Meza A. ↑,
- 53', Vera I. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Vera I. ⚽,
- 58', 🟨,
- 65', Benitez B. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
- 66', Arciero R. ↓, Schiavulli T. ↑,
- 66', Velazco N. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Schiavulli T. ⚽,
- 73', Arango M. 🟨,
- 81', Vera I. ↓, Pata L. ↑,
- 81', Sosa F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Cao R. ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', Mendez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Excursionistas
60% | Draw
21.3% | Deportivo Merlo
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79
(1.79) |
5.04 ↑
(3.25) |
5.73 ↑
(4.56) |
-6.8%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Excursionistas won against Deportivo Merlo?
Excursionistas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Excursionistas?
Deportivo Merlo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
20.04.2025
Deportivo Merlo
-
Excursionistas
3:2
14.09.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Excursionistas
2:1
26.04.2024
Excursionistas
-
Deportivo Merlo
3:1
Latest results of Excursionistas
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midland | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Armenio | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Flandria | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Villa San Carlos | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Laferrere | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 22 |
| 8 | San Martin Burzaco | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Argentino de Merlo | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Sacachispas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 13 | Villa Dalmine | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 17 |
| 17 | Liniers | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 |
| 18 | Dock Sud | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 13 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 20 | Fenix | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
