Result
4:2
22/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Vera I. ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, Sosa F. ⚽,
- 24', Peralta C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', 3 - 0, Vera I. ⚽,
- 51', 4 - 0, Vera I. ⚽,
- 53', Ortigoza M. ↓, Figueredo M. ↑,
- 53', Serpa I. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
- 58', Peralta C. ↓, Pereyra O. ↑,
- 59', 4 - 1, Chavez B. ⚽,
- 68', Schiavulli T. ↓, Arciero R. ↑,
- 68', Vera I. ↓, Millaci C. ↑,
- 71', Roberts D. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 75', Lopez M. ↓, Parodi G. ↑,
- 75', Sosa F. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
- 78', Treppo E. ↓, Gimenez F. ↑,
- 78', Geneiro L. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 2, Chavez B. ⚽,
- 88', Morales M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Excursionistas 51.8% | Draw 27.1% | San Martín de Burzaco 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.69) |
3.41 ↓ (3.75) |
4.39 ↓ (4.5) |
8.1% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3.
- In recent matches, Excursionistas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SM de Burzaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Excursionistas is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Excursionistas won against San Martín de Burzaco?
Excursionistas has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Burzaco won against Excursionistas?
San Martín de Burzaco has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco were as follows:
03.05.2025
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Excursionistas
0:0
17.08.2024
Excursionistas
-
San Martín de Burzaco
4:2
30.03.2024
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Excursionistas
1:1
14.10.2023
Excursionistas
-
San Martín de Burzaco
1:0
16.09.2023
Excursionistas
-
San Martín de Burzaco
4:0
Latest results of Excursionistas
Latest results of San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Armenio | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | Midland | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 19:8 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Laferrere | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Flandria | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | San Martin Burzaco | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Villa San Carlos | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | Sacachispas | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 23 |
| 12 | Brown Adrogue | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Villa Dalmine | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Acassuso | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Liniers | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Argentino de Quilmes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 15 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Dock Sud | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Fenix | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)