Excursionistas vs San Martín de Burzaco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
22/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
011
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Sosa F. ,
  • 24', Peralta C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 51', 4 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 53', Ortigoza M. , Figueredo M. ,
  • 53', Serpa I. , Camejo J. ,
  • 58', Peralta C. , Pereyra O. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Chavez B. ,
  • 68', Schiavulli T. , Arciero R. ,
  • 68', Vera I. , Millaci C. ,
  • 71', Roberts D. , Morales M. ,
  • 75', Lopez M. , Parodi G. ,
  • 75', Sosa F. , Scaramuzzi E. ,
  • 78', Treppo E. , Gimenez F. ,
  • 78', Geneiro L. , Mackay G. ,
  • 86', 4 - 2, Chavez B. ,
  • 88', Morales M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
51.8%
Draw
27.1%
San Martín de Burzaco
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 26.5% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.69)
    3.41
    (3.75)
    4.39
    (4.5)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - SM de Burzaco (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3.
    • In recent matches, Excursionistas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • SM de Burzaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco were as follows:
    03.05.2025 San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas 0:0
    17.08.2024 Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco 4:2
    30.03.2024 San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas 1:1
    14.10.2023 Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    16.09.2023 Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco 4:0
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi962117:41320
    2Excursionistas962111:4720
    3Villa Dalmine953113:5818
    4Sportivo Italiano953112:7518
    5Real Pilar960315:11418
    6Argentino de Merlo95138:6216
    7Talleres (R.E)94327:4315
    8San Martin Burzaco935114:7714
    9Deportivo Camioneros93427:6113
    10Comunicaciones93336:7-112
    11Dep. Merlo933311:13-212
    12Liniers93248:11-311
    13Laferrere932410:15-511
    14Deportivo Armenio93157:11-410
    15UAI Urquiza91626:609
    16Flandria93068:14-69
    17Brown Adrogue92345:13-89
    18Defensores Unidos91538:9-18
    19Argentino de Quilmes91448:11-37
    20Dock Sud91447:10-37
    21Villa San Carlos91358:13-56
    22Ituzaingo90365:14-93

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