Real Pilar vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Zoratti G. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Vera I. ,
  • 58', Cesar J. , Martin B. ,
  • 58', Vergara D. , Risso B. ,
  • 63', Schiavulli T. , Mosca N. ,
  • 63', Scaramuzzi E. , Arciero R. ,
  • 65', Rios N. , Smith I. ,
  • 65', Crocco M. , Ochoa J. ,
  • 71', Damiolini N. , Martinez M. ,
  • 73', Leguiza D. , Govi G. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Risso B. ,
  • 77', Ochoa J. 🟨,
  • 81', Arciero R. 🟨,
  • 84', Vera I. , Maizarez I. ,
  • 84', Zarate J. , Sosa F. ,
  • 84', Risso B. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Maizarez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Pilar
43.4%
Draw
31.6%
Excursionistas
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Real Pilar - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.75)
    2.91
    (3.48)
    3.67
    (4.26)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Real Pilar - Excursionistas?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Pilar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Pilar - Excursionistas were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 0:0
    10.06.2023 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 2:3
    06.02.2023 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 1:2
    24.09.2022 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 3:1
    Latest results of Real Pilar
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi1384120:51528
    2Villa Dalmine1384118:61228
    3Sportivo Italiano1374215:10525
    4Excursionistas1373315:8724
    5Real Pilar1373318:13524
    6Talleres (R.E)1364310:6422
    7Deportivo Camioneros1356210:7321
    8Dep. Merlo1355316:15120
    9Argentino de Merlo1353510:11-118
    10San Martin Burzaco1337315:12316
    11Laferrere1344512:16-416
    12Comunicaciones124359:11-215
    13Liniers134369:13-415
    14Dock Sud1335513:13014
    15Deportivo Armenio1342710:17-714
    16Flandria1342710:18-814
    17Brown Adrogue133558:16-814
    18UAI Urquiza132748:9-113
    19Villa San Carlos1333717:19-212
    20Defensores Unidos1326511:13-212
    21Argentino de Quilmes1325612:14-211
    22Ituzaingo120486:20-144

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