Excursionistas vs San Martín de Burzaco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
22/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
011
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Sosa F. ,
  • 24', Peralta C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 51', 4 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 53', Ortigoza M. , Figueredo M. ,
  • 53', Serpa I. , Camejo J. ,
  • 58', Peralta C. , Pereyra O. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Chavez B. ,
  • 68', Schiavulli T. , Arciero R. ,
  • 68', Vera I. , Millaci C. ,
  • 71', Roberts D. , Morales M. ,
  • 75', Lopez M. , Parodi G. ,
  • 75', Sosa F. , Scaramuzzi E. ,
  • 78', Treppo E. , Gimenez F. ,
  • 78', Geneiro L. , Mackay G. ,
  • 86', 4 - 2, Chavez B. ,
  • 88', Morales M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
51.8%
Draw
27.1%
San Martín de Burzaco
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 26.5% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.69)
    3.41
    (3.75)
    4.39
    (4.5)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - SM de Burzaco (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3.
    • In recent matches, Excursionistas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • SM de Burzaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco were as follows:
    03.05.2025 San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas 0:0
    17.08.2024 Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco 4:2
    30.03.2024 San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas 1:1
    14.10.2023 Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    16.09.2023 Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco 4:0
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi1384120:51528
    2Villa Dalmine1384118:61228
    3Sportivo Italiano1374215:10525
    4Excursionistas1373315:8724
    5Real Pilar1373318:13524
    6Talleres (R.E)1364310:6422
    7Deportivo Camioneros1356210:7321
    8Dep. Merlo1355316:15120
    9Argentino de Merlo1353510:11-118
    10San Martin Burzaco1337315:12316
    11Laferrere1344512:16-416
    12Comunicaciones124359:11-215
    13Liniers134369:13-415
    14Dock Sud1335513:13014
    15Deportivo Armenio1342710:17-714
    16Flandria1342710:18-814
    17Brown Adrogue133558:16-814
    18UAI Urquiza132748:9-113
    19Villa San Carlos1333717:19-212
    20Defensores Unidos1326511:13-212
    21Argentino de Quilmes1325612:14-211
    22Ituzaingo120486:20-144

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