Crawley Town vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League One - Round 44
Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.47	0.51
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
79% (352/444)	78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47	0.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.26	0.65
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
28	11
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
79% (352/444)	78% (284/366)
Long passes
40% (27/68)	29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
68% (68/100)	56% (61/108)
Crosses
50% (4/8)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.45
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
69% (11/16)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
64	45
Clearances Total
24	23
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.65	2.26
Goals prevented
-0.42	-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Camara P. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
23', 3 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
25', 3 - 1, Watts C. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
26', Watts C. 🟨,
34', Colwill J. 🟨,
41', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oluwabori A. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
46', Turns E. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
46', Watts C. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
54', Kelly J. 🟨,
54', Francis E. 🟨,
62', Hartridge A. 🟨,
70', Fitzwater J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
70', Niskanen I. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
71', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
75', Roles J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
78', Fraser L. 🟨,
89', Francis E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
44.1%

Draw
26%

Exeter City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.4%

34.9%

Crawley Town - Exeter City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.44)	3.61 ↑ (3.54)	3.16 ↑ (2.73)	6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Exeter City?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Crawley (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Exeter is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Crawley will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Cox M. (Injury) Flint J. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Purrington B. (Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.5:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Exeter City?

Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Crawley Town?

Exeter City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Exeter City were as follows:

29.12.2024 Exeter City - Crawley Town 4:4

08.08.2023 Exeter City - Crawley Town 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

18.04.2025 Birmingham City - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Crawley Town - Leyton Orient 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Crawley Town - Peterborough United 3:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Rotherham United - Crawley Town 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Exeter City

18.04.2025 Exeter City - Burton Albion 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 1:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Exeter City - Wigan Athletic 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Exeter City - Stockport County 0:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	26	17	4	5	45:26	19	55
2	Lincoln	26	14	7	5	42:28	14	49
3	Bradford City	25	13	7	5	35:27	8	46
4	Stockport County	26	13	6	7	37:32	5	45
5	Bolton	27	11	10	6	33:25	8	43
6	Huddersfield	27	11	6	10	46:38	8	39
7	Luton	26	11	6	9	37:32	5	39
8	Stevenage	25	10	8	7	27:23	4	38
9	Wycombe	26	9	9	8	34:29	5	36
10	Mansfield	24	10	5	9	34:28	6	35
11	Reading	25	9	8	8	33:31	2	35
12	Peterborough	26	11	2	13	33:35	-2	35
13	Exeter	25	10	3	12	28:23	5	33
14	Plymouth	26	10	3	13	33:39	-6	33
15	Barnsley	22	9	5	8	35:34	1	32
16	Leyton Orient	26	9	5	12	39:43	-4	32
17	AFC Wimbledon	25	9	4	12	27:34	-7	31
18	Wigan	25	7	9	9	26:28	-2	30
19	Burton	25	8	6	11	26:35	-9	30
20	Blackpool	26	8	5	13	32:39	-7	29
21	Northampton	25	8	5	12	23:30	-7	29
22	Doncaster	25	7	5	13	25:41	-16	26
23	Rotherham	25	6	6	13	24:38	-14	24
24	Port Vale	24	4	6	14	18:34	-16	18

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two