Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.47 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (352/444) | 78% (284/366) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.47 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.26 | 0.65 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
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79% (352/444) | 78% (284/366) |
Long passes |
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40% (27/68) | 29% (18/63) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (68/100) | 56% (61/108) |
Crosses |
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50% (4/8) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.33 | 0.45 |
Fouls |
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12 | 15 |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 59% (10/17) |
Duels won |
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64 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.65 | 2.26 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.42 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
- 9', 2 - 0, Camara P. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
- 23', 3 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
- 25', 3 - 1, Watts C. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
- 26', Watts C. 🟨,
- 34', Colwill J. 🟨,
- 41', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Oluwabori A. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 46', Turns E. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 46', Watts C. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 54', Kelly J. 🟨,
- 54', Francis E. 🟨,
- 62', Hartridge A. 🟨,
- 70', Fitzwater J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 70', Niskanen I. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
- 71', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
- 75', Roles J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
- 78', Fraser L. 🟨,
- 89', Francis E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town 44.1% | Draw 26% | Exeter City 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crawley Town's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Crawley Town - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.44) |
3.61 ↑ (3.54) |
3.16 ↑ (2.73) |
6% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
- Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Exeter is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Crawley will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A.
(Inactive)
Cox M.
(Injury)
Flint J.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim B.
(Yellow Cards)
Mukena J.
(Inactive)
Sandford R.
(Inactive)
Watson L.
(Injury)
Wollacott J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Purrington B.
(Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Exeter City?
Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Crawley Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Exeter City were as follows:
29.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Crawley Town
4:4
08.08.2023
Exeter City
-
Crawley Town
2:1
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two