Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (352/444) | 78% (284/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (352/444) | 78% (284/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/68) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (68/100) | 56% (61/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
- 9', 2 - 0, Camara P. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
- 23', 3 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
- 25', 3 - 1, Watts C. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
- 26', Watts C. 🟨,
- 34', Colwill J. 🟨,
- 41', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Oluwabori A. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 46', Turns E. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 46', Watts C. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 54', Kelly J. 🟨,
- 54', Francis E. 🟨,
- 62', Hartridge A. 🟨,
- 70', Fitzwater J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 70', Niskanen I. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
- 71', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
- 75', Roles J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
- 78', Fraser L. 🟨,
- 89', Francis E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
44.1% | Draw
26% | Exeter City
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crawley Town's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Crawley Town - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.44) |
3.61 ↑
(3.54) |
3.16 ↑
(2.73) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Crawley (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
- Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Exeter is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Crawley will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A.
(Inactive)
Cox M.
(Injury)
Flint J.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim B.
(Yellow Cards)
Mukena J.
(Inactive)
Sandford R.
(Inactive)
Watson L.
(Injury)
Wollacott J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Purrington B.
(Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Exeter City?
Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Crawley Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Exeter City were as follows:
29.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Crawley Town
4:4
08.08.2023
Exeter City
-
Crawley Town
2:1
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
