Result
0:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/279) | 76% (277/363) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/279) | 76% (277/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (27/78) | 37% (25/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (65/122) | 53% (55/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Clare S. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
- 45+1', Andrew D. ↓, Yfeko J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Abdulai A. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
- 46', Craig M. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
- 49', Happe D. 🟨,
- 61', Mendes C. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 61', McDonald K. ↓, Brierley E. ↑,
- 67', Mitchell D. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
- 80', Cummins C. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
- 80', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 81', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 83', Archibald T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aitchison J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Forrester W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
38.2% | Draw
27% | Leyton Orient
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Exeter City - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.27) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
2.69 ↓
(2.99) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 54.4% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Leyton Orient (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- Exeter is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leyton Orient is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Surgery)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Doyle-Hayes J.
(Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Oluwayemi T.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Leyton Orient will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Leyton Orient?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Exeter City?
Leyton Orient has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Leyton Orient were as follows:
15.11.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Exeter City
2:1
28.01.2025
Exeter City
-
Leyton Orient
2:6
01.10.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Exeter City
0:1
09.04.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Exeter City
2:2
09.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Leyton Orient
1:2
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
