Result
3:3
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 34
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (301/370) | 79% (271/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (301/370) | 79% (271/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (65/107) | 56% (39/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 3.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Cox S. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Sykut P. ⚽,
- 24', Sweeney P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Turns E. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
- 46', Cox S. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 52', 1 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
- 54', 1 - 3, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 56', Sykut P. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
- 59', Frith D. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 3, Leonard H. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
- 65', Wareham J. 🟨,
- 70', Tuterov T. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
- 77', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 3, Leonard H. ⚽,
- 88', Oakes L. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
- 90+4', Aitchison J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Leonard H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United
42.4% | Draw
26% | Exeter City
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peterborough United - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.96) |
3.62 ↑
(3.43) |
2.99 ↓
(3.47) |
6.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Exeter (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Peterborough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Inactive)
Lees T.
(Inactive)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
McMillan J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Exeter City?
Peterborough United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Peterborough United?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Exeter City were as follows:
30.08.2025
Exeter City
-
Peterborough United
3:0
21.01.2025
Peterborough United
-
Exeter City
1:1
24.08.2024
Exeter City
-
Peterborough United
1:2
02.03.2024
Peterborough United
-
Exeter City
2:1
06.02.2024
Exeter City
-
Peterborough United
2:1
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
