Express vs Calvary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
04/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, Sanyuka TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Basangwa R. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 55', 3 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Asiimwe H. ,

Chances of winning


Express
68.4%
Draw
20.5%
Calvary
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 24.4% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 17.9% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Express's performance.
  • Calvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-24.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Express that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvary than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Express - Calvary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.53)
    4.41
    (3.73)
    8.14
    (5.66)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Express - Calvary?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • In recent matches, Express has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Calvary has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Express may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Express is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Express
    26.11.2025 Express - Vipers 0:3
    20.11.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Express 0:0
    05.11.2025 Express - Mbarara City 4:1
    30.10.2025 Bul - Express 0:0
    Latest results of Calvary
    25.11.2025 NEC FC - Calvary 1:0
    19.11.2025 Calvary - UPDF 0:1
    07.11.2025 Calvary - Entebbe UPPC 2:4
    22.10.2025 Maroons - Calvary 0:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers17125037:92841
    2Kitara17113325:121336
    3Kampala City18113426:161036
    4Villa17104326:101634
    5Entebbe UPPC18104418:11734
    6Police1895429:20932
    7NEC FC1869320:16427
    8BUL1865718:19-123
    9Maroons1746714:14018
    10Lugazi1846815:24-918
    11Express1746714:17-318
    12Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    13Mbarara City1736814:26-1215
    14URA SC1729614:19-515
    15UPDF18331212:26-1412
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League